TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e77…cb47backed No50c2,664$1,321 inWon+$1,343.544864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes45c1,944$877 inLost-$877.083633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No53c1,430$757 inWon+$673.175550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes54c1,100$594 inLost-$59415251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Yes51c1,017$519 inLost-$518.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes55c910.82$498 inLost-$497.6660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e3…4ed9backed Yes60c819$490 inLost-$490.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No40c735.44$294 inWon+$441.2624935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c78…1401backed Yes57c600$342 inLost-$342333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes45c433.33$195 inLost-$19523454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No50c284.26$142 inWon+$142.3645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…d6b4backed Yes50c268.32$134 inLost-$134.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…1986backed No53c265.78$140 inWon+$125.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes21c161.14$34 inLost-$33.8414540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908f…ffb7backed Yes53c130.47$69 inLost-$69.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No44c94.25$41 inWon+$53.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf4…086bbacked Yes58c90$52 inLost-$52.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No51c87.38$45 inWon+$42.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes47c76.25$36 inLost-$35.847243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No53c60.02$32 inWon+$28.481,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes56c60$34 inLost-$33.61,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe58c…0262backed No42c60$25 inWon+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8257…f579backed No53c56.72$30 inWon+$26.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes41c50$21 inLost-$20.51414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x949f…4a02backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes53c43.6$23 inLost-$23.1112654.8%69 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7916…2e9fbacked Yes47c40.32$19 inLost-$18.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7314…9073backed Yes50c39.73$20 inLost-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ba…880dbacked Yes60c38.77$23 inLost-$23.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb06…d702backed No42c30$13 inWon+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e2…253bbacked Yes47c30$14 inLost-$14.130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Yes45c30$14 inLost-$13.535454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed No54c29.99$16 inWon+$13.811044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No59c26$15 inWon+$10.662429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c55…88e4backed No56c21.09$12 inWon+$9.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.