TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

EWC Cs2: The MongolZ vs. Vitality

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The MongolZof The MongolZ, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed The MongolZ30c11,966$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,430.0188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9940…b140backed Vitality1c11,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ55c8,730$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,927.954862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed The MongolZ52c8,442$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.0222849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked The MongolZ48c6,760$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.292766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x712f…b93bbacked Vitality74c5,463$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Vitality74c5,083$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.415143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed The MongolZ27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Vitality53c4,382$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.4716349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Vitality73c4,114$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.038237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Vitality75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed The MongolZ26c3,925$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.54360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Vitality73c3,547$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.1510663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed The MongolZ44c3,508$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9735149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed The MongolZ35c2,752$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.335,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Vitality46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ31c2,008$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.4146340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked The MongolZ45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.314239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Vitality9c1,815$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1513532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed The MongolZ44c1,756$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.13743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Vitality61c1,725$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.19938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7d5…8a19backed Vitality9c1,709$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.99728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Vitality47c1,633$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.7318650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ52c1,600$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.891,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Vitality17c1,519$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1310261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Vitality33c1,456$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.35326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ28c1,434$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.8324440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vitality50c1,395$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Vitality68c1,330$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.343265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality77c1,292$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Vitality73c1,227$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.7115452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…4673backed The MongolZ28c1,153$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.83633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f5…e71dbacked Vitality6c1,145$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Vitality1c1,069$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked The MongolZ27c1,034$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.074949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Vitality46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Vitality46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed The MongolZ27c949.98$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed The MongolZ27c880.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5216335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality72c830.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60060953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Vitality51c800$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.53450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Vitality75c800$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5969954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed Vitality55c789.77$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.424864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed Vitality41c772.32$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality75c622.67$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46726563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Vitality72c590.61$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.518055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Vitality73c572.56$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality73c556$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.951,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Vitality46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.310933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Vitality74c540.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed The MongolZ38c490$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.87243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Vitality44c450.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.898833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality56c446.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9535341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed The MongolZ29c435$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Vitality73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Vitality74c399.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9919155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6236751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed The MongolZ28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1422242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Vitality55c344$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1213235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Vitality71c341.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.431650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca50…7aa5backed Vitality61c330.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ44c320$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Vitality74c303.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3312843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6555…eadebacked Vitality66c302.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ27c296.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.39552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed The MongolZ25c294.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8825941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked The MongolZ27c292.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.866643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Vitality47c288.53$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.617732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed The MongolZ50c283.73$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.673551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked The MongolZ53c279.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3947055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Vitality46c276$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.961827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Vitality73c274.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked The MongolZ37c268$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.943542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed The MongolZ51c252.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.331384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Vitality44c251.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Vitality57c251.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Vitality72c248.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed The MongolZ50c232.42$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.081952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed The MongolZ53c230.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed The MongolZ28c229.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.258737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed Vitality46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked The MongolZ48c208.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5216649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f1…ad52backed Vitality26c200.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed The MongolZ27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14611654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed The MongolZ26c199.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe238…e5e5backed Vitality73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Vitality24c190$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.26253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed The MongolZ27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1930039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Vitality48c182.24$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.463345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Vitality75c168.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.61,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked The MongolZ25c168.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.61926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Vitality73c163.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11923454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Vitality9c160.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7311625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Vitality66c153.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…6102backed Vitality66c151.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3378…f722backed Vitality62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed The MongolZ28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked The MongolZ43c148.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.156451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.