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CS2 · resolved market

EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.pro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Virtus.pro24c17,385$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.748237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Virtus.pro24c5,882$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.3245848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Virtus.pro22c4,718$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.1788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed MOUZ76c4,525$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0862740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ76c3,500$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84023945.2%108 W · 131 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed MOUZ65c3,335$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.2216749.1%82 W · 85 L-21.1wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Virtus.pro24c2,700$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.999329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed MOUZ77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.43366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ78c2,385$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6225139.4%99 W · 152 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed MOUZ75c1,933$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.161758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ76c1,798$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.921,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked MOUZ70c1,749$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.542568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed MOUZ75c1,500$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3706842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ76c1,447$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.48944.9%40 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Virtus.pro46c1,415$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.3516357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed MOUZ67c1,365$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.84047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked MOUZ76c1,215$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.549647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Virtus.pro28c1,171$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.265,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Virtus.pro33c1,134$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.821030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+87.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ74c917.08$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5511847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed MOUZ40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26418650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ75c750$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.520160.7%122 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked MOUZ76c728.8$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.914835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked MOUZ73c720.69$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3542149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Virtus.pro32c717$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.448956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Virtus.pro28c655$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.716335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed MOUZ78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0318043.3%78 W · 102 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4c…a5f0backed Virtus.pro25c628$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Virtus.pro33c603.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed MOUZ77c597.1$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.694348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ78c512.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8413043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Virtus.pro35c510$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.47632.9%25 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Virtus.pro20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ51c488.24$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2461153.4%326 W · 285 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Virtus.pro32c485.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.815149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed MOUZ76c475$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11411654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro49c460.02$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.418055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Virtus.pro27c458.6$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8817135.1%60 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ65c430$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.211044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ69c427.62$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9247055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Virtus.pro35c423.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.128737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7426563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro51c394.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9635441.5%147 W · 207 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked Virtus.pro34c382.37$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.057636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Virtus.pro26c358.86$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9222749.8%113 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ76c353.95$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9570453.1%374 W · 330 L-26.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed MOUZ72c341.37$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.373141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed MOUZ70c339.58$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.581957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed MOUZ70c319.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.594864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Virtus.pro31c310$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.913235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Virtus.pro48c308.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ76c300.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1556738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Virtus.pro28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8425941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Virtus.pro30c272.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.694827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Virtus.pro38c264.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017336.4%63 W · 110 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed MOUZ77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed MOUZ67c233.62$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.971952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro33c225.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.593,26950.3%1,644 W · 1,625 L+98.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed MOUZ69c218.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.481384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6424…d631backed MOUZ76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked MOUZ77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4660655.1%334 W · 272 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…2cdbbacked Virtus.pro25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Virtus.pro33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.630748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ74c194.81$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.651,15249.4%569 W · 583 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ78c185.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.923454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ76c183.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0111369%78 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…eda0backed Virtus.pro33c175.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff5…8c56backed MOUZ60c167.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Virtus.pro33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…4673backed Virtus.pro30c159.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed MOUZ76c156.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2420157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked MOUZ69c154$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.744959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad2…f7f0backed Virtus.pro25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed MOUZ75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…b205backed MOUZ78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ72c143.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9621846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bd…ac79backed MOUZ68c143.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Virtus.pro50c143.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.973560%21 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ77c139.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.039552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed MOUZ78c138.46$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked MOUZ72c117.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.876451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…6519backed MOUZ60c112.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ55c109.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4224554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ67c107.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9174358.1%432 W · 311 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed MOUZ36c106$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.612131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe238…e5e5backed MOUZ60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed MOUZ76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Virtus.pro45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Virtus.pro51c83.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked MOUZ44c79.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5910261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa261…da11backed MOUZ69c78.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.347553.3%40 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Virtus.pro61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9516150.3%81 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked MOUZ78c74.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Virtus.pro49c71.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0115921.4%34 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Virtus.pro24c63.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.173638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.735454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0514540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.