TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$533,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$590,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Legacy45c390,134$176,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,377.688237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Astralis54c196,877$105,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,532.191650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis58c65,770$37,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,939.7121645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis57c35,569$20,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,433.4825842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Astralis56c27,359$15,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,165.292441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Astralis57c23,930$13,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,310.6311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Legacy40c18,078$7,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,231.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis55c17,111$9,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,733.1283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Astralis56c16,666$9,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,388.5988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Legacy43c8,967$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8485129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Legacy41c6,770$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.764759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis52c6,360$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.41,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Astralis57c6,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Astralis56c5,814$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.2423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Legacy46c5,802$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.5527345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd559…05a0backed Astralis34c5,767$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis59c4,407$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.7861338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Astralis56c4,293$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.3926344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Astralis57c3,266$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.7615347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Legacy42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Astralis44c2,464$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.165459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Astralis56c2,336$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.8460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Legacy54c2,170$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.338833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Legacy50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Legacy44c1,867$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.4811631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Legacy40c1,839$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.768838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Legacy41c1,655$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.986643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8206…7cacbacked Legacy45c1,549$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.163721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Astralis58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63021846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Astralis26c1,477$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.8310933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Legacy43c1,450$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.527950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Astralis58c1,417$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1413954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Astralis59c1,288$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1626251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Astralis62c1,284$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5311746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Astralis57c1,004$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6712145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Astralis55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy51c832.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.655,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Astralis56c760.71$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7110538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis51c723.73$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1147055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Astralis59c711.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5816349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Astralis58c699.24$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Astralis46c656.76$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7611030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis33c611.43$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Legacy67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Legacy42c545.46$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9721639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis33c507.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9938452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Astralis34c502.94$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9424440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Astralis57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Astralis57c490$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.18444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Astralis50c439.64$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.443237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Astralis57c436.75$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.810947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Astralis50c417.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Astralis46c414.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astralis57c366.82$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7326563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Legacy42c363$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.656253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Astralis46c335.44$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2516335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Astralis36c257.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.54546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Astralis59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2411847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Astralis57c225.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Astralis34c210.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.079215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Astralis57c207.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Astralis33c199.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13417849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astralis56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5736751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Astralis56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Astralis56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Astralis58c173.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9542638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Astralis59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Astralis58c166.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.418737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Astralis60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Legacy8c147.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Astralis57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3510238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed Astralis56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Astralis50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed Legacy50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Astralis56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.817847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Astralis55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.958247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed Astralis55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Legacy43c84.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.277558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2108…9abdbacked Legacy50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Astralis43c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.310261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Astralis42c79.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.735565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Astralis41c75.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0526351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1357…4fd4backed Astralis68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.861,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Astralis58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.346564.6%42 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Legacy44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed Astralis36c58.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+69.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07f0…c11dbacked Legacy43c57.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Legacy48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Legacy43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…a178backed Legacy43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Legacy45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Astralis61c39.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3411565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddf…1b96backed Astralis56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf3…626bbacked Legacy68c34.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…8230backed Legacy70c34.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Legacy45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.