TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Spirit win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa5b…c715backed Yes21c9,367$1,979 inLost-$1,978.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No78c5,411$4,230 inWon+$1,180.8575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No72c1,770$1,269 inWon+$500.5381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834c…fff3backed Yes28c1,243$350 inLost-$3501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes30c1,047$319 inLost-$318.815436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No70c999.99$700 inWon+$3009345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes22c886.17$191 inLost-$190.7958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Yes25c794$201 inLost-$201.441442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes27c782.82$214 inLost-$21410738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1d…0704backed Yes30c756.67$227 inLost-$227650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Yes27c665.18$176 inLost-$176.426842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6bbebacked Yes30c333.23$100 inLost-$99.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…3e65backed No70c327.98$231 inWon+$97.072339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No78c289$225 inWon+$63.7713740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed Yes28c257.59$71 inLost-$71.432356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Yes30c180$54 inLost-$546253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0e…78afbacked Yes36c175.56$64 inLost-$641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c156$40 inLost-$40.2231735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Yes27c152.84$42 inLost-$427659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost-$4028346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c120$29 inLost-$28.771,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…8230backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost-$303655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No78c110$86 inWon+$24.32875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed No70c99.99$70 inWon+$308549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked No56c95$53 inWon+$41.813043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No76c93$71 inWon+$22.322650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Yes28c90$25 inLost-$25.210261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes28c85.11$24 inLost-$23.832450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Yes27c82.48$22 inLost-$2220157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…b383backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost-$206451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes27c45.46$12 inLost-$12.2711044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21aa…aa43backed Yes34c44.37$15 inLost-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…d557backed Yes45c33.11$15 inLost-$14.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.