CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8950eab8e3a5c7281a072cbc0835d9b70408bb11cb7175ff5147b25e659a7a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 37c | 2,048$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.06 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked No | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 68c | 1,585$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,548$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,547$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.07 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 47c | 1,437$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.83 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 68c | 1,219$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 37c | 1,025$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 4c | 1,022$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…4673backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 56c | 883.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 45c | 877.9$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 2c | 619.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 51c | 554.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.71 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Yes | 50c | 463.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 446$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 55c | 444.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 63c | 439$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 42c | 414.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 51c | 374.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed No | 50c | 301.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 19c | 279.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 41c | 256.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…610abacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 45c | 195.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 32c | 168.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 38c | 164.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…e51abacked Yes | 59c | 154.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked No | 71c | 140.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed No | 49c | 101.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 51c | 98.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 41c | 97.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 52c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…c675backed Yes | 50c | 72.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…e2a9backed Yes | 39c | 68.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…b326backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Yes | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…cf99backed Yes | 54c | 43.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…4322backed No | 64c | 39.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 49c | 35.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…3a91backed No | 64c | 34.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed No | 62c | 28.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…95cbbacked Yes | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…48b9backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…899cbacked Yes | 55c | 18.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…28dbbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will 3DMAX win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Astralis win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will TYLOO win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes won
- Will Virtus.pro win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.