CS2 · resolved market
Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347141a20998312c729197731b5c301ad5b8404528276ebd2f8c3afe811f0632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Yes | 12c | 15,052$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.4 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…2588backed Yes | 25c | 2,798$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 75c | 1,735$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,596$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…fff3backed Yes | 13c | 1,593$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,303$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked No | 75c | 1,060$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 960.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 10c | 907.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Yes | 34c | 593.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 78c | 512.28$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes | 21c | 477.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed Yes | 13c | 403.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 14c | 357$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…2cdbbacked Yes | 30c | 330$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…9197backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes | 15c | 245.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 14c | 198.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Yes | 44c | 195.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 17c | 180.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…079dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 148$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…78afbacked Yes | 12c | 130.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 25c | 111.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 30c | 83.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 27c | 65.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Yes | 25c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…b123backed Yes | 57c | 34.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…5434backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will 3DMAX win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Astralis win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will TYLOO win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes won
- Will Virtus.pro win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.