CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b77d1181ad9cb9ccec0b30b1f4542eaa59cec8b965d4a6b8ba39632b2e5c658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Legacy | 38c | 10,662$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.73 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed FURIA | 62c | 4,843$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.17 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Legacy | 21c | 4,787$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.76 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Legacy | 34c | 4,092$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.36 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed FURIA | 68c | 2,560$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.74 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed FURIA | 71c | 1,940$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.72 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Legacy | 34c | 1,653$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.04 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked FURIA | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Legacy | 38c | 1,290$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.75 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked FURIA | 63c | 1,144$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.47 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Legacy | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Legacy | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 30c | 999.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FURIA | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 62c | 741.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Legacy | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed FURIA | 72c | 696.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Legacy | 33c | 602.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA | 67c | 588$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed FURIA | 63c | 573.14$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked FURIA | 63c | 555.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Legacy | 42c | 533$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked FURIA | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Legacy | 27c | 496.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked Legacy | 32c | 449.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed FURIA | 65c | 355.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Legacy | 34c | 352.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed FURIA | 67c | 341.13$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FURIA | 62c | 340.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA | 68c | 321.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked FURIA | 64c | 320.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed FURIA | 62c | 312.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Legacy | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed FURIA | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…3874backed FURIA | 71c | 281.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked FURIA | 56c | 268$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed FURIA | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ed25backed Legacy | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed FURIA | 62c | 232.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Legacy | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Legacy | 44c | 193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…0619backed FURIA | 65c | 192.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FURIA | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FURIA | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Legacy | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FURIA | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed FURIA | 71c | 127.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Legacy | 39c | 114.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed FURIA | 62c | 111.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed FURIA | 77c | 100.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed Legacy | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked FURIA | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Legacy | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked FURIA | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed FURIA | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…40d9backed FURIA | 69c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Legacy | 39c | 89.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Legacy | 36c | 66.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed FURIA | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Legacy | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 67c | 54.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed FURIA | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked FURIA | 64c | 47.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked FURIA | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FURIA | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed FURIA | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed FURIA | 63c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FURIA | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked FURIA | 63c | 30.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed FURIA | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 63c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed FURIA | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…a530backed FURIA | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…ec40backed FURIA | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked FURIA | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed FURIA | 64c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.