TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c5…ec40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.95
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.48
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.23
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$52.51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$61.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.84
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$16.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.78
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23.87
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. Legacybacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. ECSTATICbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.92
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$84.73
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.06
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$98.71
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+40%+$56.48
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$42.53
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.04
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+37%+$5.58
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$25.17
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+62.6%+$22.9
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$111.79
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$61.95
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$24.22
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.11
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.