CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c80a6749fd73b7b55101e3a88f2b3428ff8767755dd2bf5072d40f11c407627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed G2 | 31c | 10,499$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.79 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 70c | 2,875$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.68 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 15c | 1,884$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.72 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,389$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,255$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.12 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked G2 | 42c | 1,195$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed G2 | 31c | 921.25$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked G2 | 33c | 904.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 69c | 762.32$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed G2 | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 67c | 737.47$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.15 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed MOUZ | 69c | 691.53$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked G2 | 33c | 606.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked G2 | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked G2 | 14c | 587.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed G2 | 8c | 583$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed G2 | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed MOUZ | 68c | 439$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 60c | 384.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 68c | 323.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed G2 | 29c | 275$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked G2 | 14c | 269.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed G2 | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked G2 | 29c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 72c | 163.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked MOUZ | 71c | 155.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked G2 | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed MOUZ | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed MOUZ | 76c | 110.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked G2 | 32c | 95.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 94.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed G2 | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 25c | 88.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2bfbbacked MOUZ | 69c | 82.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed G2 | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed MOUZ | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 | 32c | 68.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed G2 | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ | 71c | 61.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed G2 | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed MOUZ | 74c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ac55backed MOUZ | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ | 76c | 38.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…ec40backed G2 | 32c | 35.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed MOUZ | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed MOUZ | 76c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked MOUZ | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…b87fbacked G2 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked MOUZ | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked MOUZ | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed MOUZ | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed MOUZ | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed MOUZ | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed MOUZ | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…a530backed MOUZ | 68c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…f8adbacked MOUZ | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed MOUZ | 69c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked MOUZ | 69c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.