CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadbfb51de2032de554ad60e3f66bcd15d75b76a6ae182c96215bdc225d1bbd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof Astralis, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked fnatic | 73c | 19,883$14,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 21c | 16,323$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.22 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 33c | 16,248$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.91 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked fnatic | 79c | 14,676$11,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.87 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 23c | 9,951$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.82 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 41c | 4,895$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 22c | 4,451$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.74 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Astralis | 18c | 3,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Astralis | 9c | 2,423$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.87 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Astralis | 20c | 2,363$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.01 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Astralis | 23c | 2,223$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Astralis | 2c | 2,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed fnatic | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.27 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Astralis | 17c | 1,938$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.86 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked fnatic | 60c | 1,594$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.16 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked fnatic | 65c | 1,587$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Astralis | 8c | 1,586$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 21c | 1,408$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…ea02backed Astralis | 19c | 1,190$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Astralis | 6c | 1,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Astralis | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 9c | 800$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed fnatic | 64c | 796$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.77 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed fnatic | 73c | 761.96$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Astralis | 8c | 735.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked fnatic | 74c | 652.36$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…2f8fbacked Astralis | 30c | 652.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…58f0backed Astralis | 25c | 646$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Astralis | 23c | 635.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa037…2b2cbacked fnatic | 60c | 579.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 54c | 571.13$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Astralis | 40c | 568$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Astralis | 12c | 527.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…0ec4backed Astralis | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis | 4c | 433.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 24c | 409.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Astralis | 24c | 408.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Astralis | 12c | 401.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed fnatic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed fnatic | 64c | 394.07$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Astralis | 8c | 355.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…216bbacked Astralis | 29c | 345.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Astralis | 19c | 331.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed fnatic | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Astralis | 16c | 270$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed fnatic | 63c | 260.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Astralis | 24c | 254.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…e909backed fnatic | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…89cdbacked fnatic | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…2367backed Astralis | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed fnatic | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…51c8backed Astralis | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…6babbacked Astralis | 6c | 246$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…a125backed Astralis | 5c | 241$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed fnatic | 74c | 240.16$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed fnatic | 77c | 239.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Astralis | 23c | 222.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed fnatic | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Astralis | 25c | 216.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed fnatic | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed fnatic | 67c | 200.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked fnatic | 51c | 200.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Astralis | 6c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 10c | 199.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…21ffbacked Astralis | 9c | 196.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Astralis | 32c | 195.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Astralis | 54c | 183$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked fnatic | 66c | 182.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Astralis | 30c | 164.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked fnatic | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…9b89backed Astralis | 17c | 156.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed Astralis | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +900%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…2542backed Astralis | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Astralis | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked fnatic | 75c | 137$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Astralis | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Astralis | 23c | 118.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…e7e6backed fnatic | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed fnatic | 77c | 114.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Astralis | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Astralis | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked fnatic | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…c2dfbacked Astralis | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed fnatic | 63c | 96.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…1ba3backed fnatic | 61c | 93.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +197%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…af3ebacked Astralis | 25c | 89.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Astralis | 24c | 88.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…3d2abacked Astralis | 42c | 82.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed fnatic | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Astralis | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked fnatic | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked Astralis | 22c | 75.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Astralis | 51c | 74.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…2349backed Astralis | 14c | 74.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Astralis | 17c | 71.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed fnatic | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Astralis | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed fnatic | 79c | 62.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked fnatic | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…6700backed Astralis | 24c | 61.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.