CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279d4ce761fe85ae0f23baa50186da7f7a41a34534345516ae6a9a10bc7e0c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed fnatic | 0c | 16,266$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…ac2fbacked fnatic | 0c | 14,396$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 58c | 13,680$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,789.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 62c | 13,144$8,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.78 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed fnatic | 43c | 12,022$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.09 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed fnatic | 0c | 11,321$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…e272backed fnatic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic | 57c | 8,087$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.86 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Astralis | 42c | 7,203$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed fnatic | 59c | 6,922$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.98 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 53c | 6,675$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed fnatic | 43c | 6,509$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked fnatic | 39c | 5,632$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis | 57c | 5,135$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.05 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed fnatic | 42c | 4,806$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 43c | 4,277$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 57c | 3,845$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.36 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Astralis | 40c | 3,686$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.07 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked fnatic | 35c | 2,533$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.84 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed fnatic | 43c | 2,229$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked fnatic | 49c | 2,060$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.12 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed fnatic | 56c | 2,054$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.85 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked fnatic | 52c | 2,009$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked fnatic | 53c | 1,950$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.05 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked fnatic | 66c | 1,943$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked fnatic | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 47c | 1,481$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.34 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked fnatic | 1c | 1,240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed fnatic | 46c | 1,040$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.87 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 58c | 944.07$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.51 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Astralis | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked fnatic | 72c | 832$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 56c | 753.46$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Astralis | 60c | 732.7$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed fnatic | 56c | 705$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.4 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed fnatic | 19c | 700$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked fnatic | 41c | 693.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed fnatic | 44c | 681.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Astralis | 58c | 666$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Astralis | 55c | 600$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Astralis | 53c | 590.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.96 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Astralis | 77c | 587.11$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…894abacked fnatic | 38c | 578.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked fnatic | 47c | 561.03$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed fnatic | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Astralis | 51c | 555$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked fnatic | 51c | 531.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Astralis | 67c | 525.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Astralis | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 58c | 510.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Astralis | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked fnatic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed fnatic | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Astralis | 57c | 443.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed fnatic | 60c | 442.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Astralis | 58c | 429.14$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.74 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked fnatic | 43c | 401.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked fnatic | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…2d12backed fnatic | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Astralis | 44c | 386.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Astralis | 59c | 356.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed fnatic | 49c | 353.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Astralis | 35c | 317.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Astralis | 34c | 310.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Astralis | 58c | 310.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed fnatic | 31c | 303.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Astralis | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked fnatic | 52c | 286.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed fnatic | 43c | 265.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Astralis | 52c | 259.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 38c | 248.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Astralis | 59c | 238$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…d543backed Astralis | 47c | 227.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Astralis | 37c | 226.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Astralis | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed fnatic | 30c | 201.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked fnatic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked fnatic | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Astralis | 62c | 195.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed Astralis | 58c | 180.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Astralis | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Astralis | 58c | 174.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Astralis | 57c | 173.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Astralis | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Astralis | 53c | 163.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 39c | 163.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Astralis | 48c | 147.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…5f79backed Astralis | 70c | 145.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked fnatic | 43c | 137.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed fnatic | 52c | 133.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Astralis | 40c | 132$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…32d6backed Astralis | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked fnatic | 46c | 125.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Astralis | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Astralis | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.