NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b2a9f3fcd56beb0b15d325e087fa82eb285d6316ef0e1a9c67680e89fce6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,105,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Celtics | 76c | 142,538$108,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,066.34 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Heat | 32c | 53,632$17,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,030.56 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Celtics | 66c | 43,218$28,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,648.82 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 25c | 40,435$10,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,213.22 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 24c | 33,748$8,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,164.53 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 34c | 27,311$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.75 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 24c | 24,695$5,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.77 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 29c | 23,896$6,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,877.29 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 34c | 10,619$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.8 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Heat | 25c | 10,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.97 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Heat | 24c | 7,960$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.4 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Heat | 25c | 6,600$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 24c | 5,251$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.81 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Heat | 25c | 5,220$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.9 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 73c | 5,101$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.01 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 25c | 4,699$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.08 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Celtics | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 22c | 3,849$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 24c | 3,562$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.85 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Heat | 21c | 3,493$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 25c | 3,264$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.05 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 23c | 3,216$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.09 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 3,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 76c | 2,500$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.9 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 19c | 2,339$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 76c | 2,260$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.81 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 75c | 2,254$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,065$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.03 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 26c | 1,904$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 25c | 1,882$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.22 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Celtics | 75c | 1,759$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 25c | 1,717$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.25 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Celtics | 74c | 1,652$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Celtics | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Heat | 26c | 1,499$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Celtics | 76c | 1,486$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Heat | 24c | 1,486$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 24c | 1,472$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 25c | 1,467$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Celtics | 79c | 1,451$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Heat | 24c | 1,441$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.49 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 6c | 1,384$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Celtics | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Celtics | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 25c | 1,254$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 25c | 1,164$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 76c | 1,071$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Celtics | 69c | 1,040$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.54 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Celtics | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 24c | 1,032$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Heat | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Celtics | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Celtics | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Heat | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Heat | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Celtics | 75c | 933.54$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Heat | 24c | 913.62$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 24c | 912.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Heat | 40c | 861.86$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Celtics | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Heat | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Heat | 7c | 750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Heat | 24c | 744.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Celtics | 75c | 741.32$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics | 68c | 735.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.74 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Heat | 24c | 696.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Heat | 15c | 672.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Celtics | 71c | 666.77$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Celtics | 75c | 665$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Celtics | 75c | 630.13$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Celtics | 70c | 626.93$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Celtics | 58c | 620$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Celtics | 55c | 600$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Heat | 33c | 600$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 70c | 599$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Celtics | 75c | 593.7$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Celtics | 75c | 568.96$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 24c | 563.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Heat | 23c | 549.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 26c | 505$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Heat | 25c | 503.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Celtics | 77c | 502.16$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Celtics | 74c | 500.04$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Celtics | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Celtics | 79c | 488.97$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Celtics | 66c | 466.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Heat | 33c | 450$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed Heat | 26c | 449.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 74c | 440$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.