TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Spurs, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10bd…ce02backed Spurs1c89,114$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.764330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls23c11,232$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,617.33,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f85…4608backed Bulls42c10,041$4,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca32…2128backed Spurs58c10,034$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls35c8,750$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,690.8165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls73c8,439$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.4770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Spurs51c7,384$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.611842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs58c6,813$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.8916942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs61c6,803$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.029330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Bulls42c6,184$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.669250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Bulls11c5,856$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,188.0230954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Bulls42c5,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1903262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls27c5,388$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.3661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Bulls4c5,344$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.175935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Bulls12c5,189$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.9315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Spurs59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9507248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Bulls42c3,521$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.394238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs57c2,958$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.9237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Bulls42c2,781$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.749952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls45c2,531$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Spurs64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Spurs2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bulls17c2,481$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.0529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Bulls19c2,094$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.46634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs13c2,036$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls38c1,896$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Spurs66c1,782$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.0136843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls42c1,426$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.7550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Spurs72c1,423$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.1917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Bulls36c1,405$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Spurs77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Bulls43c1,277$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.6614039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Bulls43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.795267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls12c999.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs72c995.02$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.971,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls6c963.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.671,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…9162backed Bulls42c926.1$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…f2e9backed Spurs59c926.1$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Bulls42c874.36$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1314438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Spurs58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls33c834.5$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.3631935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…9591backed Spurs59c789.8$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb50…7562backed Bulls42c789.8$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Spurs4c785$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.366744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs71c782.64$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bulls27c780.6$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Spurs76c766.33$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls43c692.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.641,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Spurs58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls32c612.49$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0538132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bulls20c566.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Bulls11c557.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9722430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs69c545.1$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Spurs58c541.38$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31415763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs58c500$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bulls41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls42c499.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…9bb9backed Bulls31c480$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Bulls46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.96045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bulls42c414.89$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6411662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs58c327.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs41c320$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs78c284.61$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs56c275.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Spurs58c275.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.724639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls41c262.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Spurs49c261$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5523956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…278dbacked Spurs58c260.57$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…973bbacked Bulls43c260.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Bulls13c260$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8314941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Spurs58c260$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.822955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5301…2d04backed Bulls43c254.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbf…e8efbacked Spurs58c254.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Bulls42c252.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+101.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Spurs57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bulls44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Bulls16c249.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb15d…3a19backed Spurs59c244.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1900…689cbacked Spurs58c244.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d4…8493backed Bulls43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3533…efffbacked Bulls43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7939…33fbbacked Bulls43c241.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dab…3f3abacked Spurs58c241.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2b…e0e6backed Spurs80c240.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Bulls42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.16435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Bulls43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5630354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Bulls44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2721338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Bulls45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f88…1272backed Bulls43c219.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0730…46f8backed Spurs58c218.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52c7…b836backed Bulls29c214.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.734445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Bulls41c213.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.