TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$788,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$875,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks2c53,509$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.2772241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Bucks50c46,757$23,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,402.0511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks9c36,188$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.6915741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Bucks76c29,864$22,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,619.913663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256a…9d0ebacked Nets58c20,642$11,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,697.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Nets78c17,493$13,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.216361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets51c13,920$7,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,808.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Nets14c13,763$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,836.269952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Nets39c12,396$4,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,514.8519350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks10c11,644$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.341,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nets14c11,052$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,553.825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks20c10,888$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Bucks37c9,157$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.4814233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets13c8,638$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,513.1472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bucks12c8,062$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9334425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets13c8,011$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.251,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks1c8,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets37c7,640$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.9765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Nets44c7,335$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.276450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets14c7,144$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,143.936247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Bucks17c7,000$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17429858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Bucks25c6,559$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.42544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Nets57c6,429$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.5417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bucks29c5,654$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.5829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets38c5,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets32c4,420$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.9170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Nets75c4,176$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.7719152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets77c4,137$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.3745135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bucks1c4,053$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Nets13c3,849$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.7111834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets53c3,834$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.3539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets12c3,300$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,89146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Bucks45c2,775$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.996347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Nets19c2,691$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.958129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets46c2,658$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.8861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Nets12c2,600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2887536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Bucks47c2,547$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.294334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Nets76c2,483$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.865561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Nets13c2,308$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.691838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets47c2,083$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.8547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5df…b469backed Bucks40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Bucks1c1,930$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks49c1,902$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.7630443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x558e…9d39backed Bucks32c1,733$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5473663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Nets13c1,539$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.1318628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Bucks6c1,469$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Bucks73c1,435$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.8523835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets14c1,429$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.571,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Nets54c1,279$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.7115947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3988…c78cbacked Nets13c1,231$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Nets12c1,200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets14c1,177$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.9765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bucks5c1,104$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7637011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…86babacked Nets12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Nets12c999.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets19c981.86$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.7675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Nets73c967.15$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3810921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f5b…864fbacked Nets80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Nets12c859.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Nets13c800$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69613341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf74…c136backed Bucks2c796.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Bucks71c701.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Bucks50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2404…1b52backed Nets13c699.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+373.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Bucks2c664.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.064010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Bucks77c611.02$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.365855.2%32 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks74c600$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4431,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Bucks61c599.99$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Nets18c556$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.929625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks78c548.01$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bucks16c511.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets12c500.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Bucks79c500.02$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5212245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c61…636fbacked Bucks5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1938027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8173…bfeebacked Nets48c447.35$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Nets75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bucks49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks74c400$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…19bcbacked Nets58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1013…7e57backed Nets76c392.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Nets39c372.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9118666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Bucks8c370$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.69724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Bucks10c361.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…ec40backed Bucks32c349.34$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Bucks15c333.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6219231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Bucks31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed Bucks46c319.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Bucks67c308.27$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5224751.8%128 W · 119 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8c…540ebacked Bucks11c300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a6…95d3backed Bucks21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ca…a4b4backed Bucks33c271.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.43438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13db…f487backed Nets14c271.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+181.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Nets15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.676640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Nets75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6712930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets13c264.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.