NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc39f8d1e29de957cc6939c06afc9f91f4cedf963c4aa8f6104a8ee269197575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $651,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Celtics | 52c | 65,297$33,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,512.56 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Timberwolves | 48c | 35,637$16,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,970.89 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 38c | 22,367$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,601.08 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 20c | 20,146$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.35 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Celtics | 56c | 18,783$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.26 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 17,793$7,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.81 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves | 38c | 12,230$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 11,449$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 50c | 11,054$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.87 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,716$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.98 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Timberwolves | 25c | 8,962$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 8,934$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Celtics | 73c | 8,458$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.34 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Timberwolves | 41c | 7,425$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 31c | 7,312$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…412cbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 5,959$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…3cbebacked Celtics | 75c | 5,930$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 5,916$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.14 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 60c | 5,800$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 5,111$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.32 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,916$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.47 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 36c | 4,626$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.26 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 43c | 4,567$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.81 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 31c | 3,758$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.21 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…129ebacked Celtics | 64c | 3,126$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Timberwolves | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 2,652$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Celtics | 68c | 2,515$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.15 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,503$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.26 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Celtics | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,422$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 62c | 2,149$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.63 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Celtics | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Timberwolves | 40c | 1,760$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,702$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.61 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 35c | 1,700$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,620$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Celtics | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…acc7backed Celtics | 63c | 1,556$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Celtics | 64c | 1,551$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.03 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Celtics | 47c | 1,537$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.38 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 1,523$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.17 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,449$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.13 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 77c | 1,431$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 1,334$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,193$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,177$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Celtics | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Timberwolves | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Celtics | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 1,080$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Celtics | 74c | 1,080$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…0dc3backed Celtics | 58c | 1,080$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,060$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.18 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…5389backed Timberwolves | 17c | 1,058$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…600cbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…37ddbacked Celtics | 63c | 1,052$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Celtics | 73c | 1,026$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,003$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Celtics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Celtics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Timberwolves | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…1f0abacked Timberwolves | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Celtics | 62c | 958.37$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Timberwolves | 9c | 955$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 37c | 939.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 880.02$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 878.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5e3fbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 870$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 39c | 801.1$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Celtics | 53c | 788.57$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.71 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 31c | 747.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 732.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 730.65$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Celtics | 72c | 730$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Celtics | 61c | 703.74$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 59c | 699.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Celtics | 62c | 682$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…4352backed Timberwolves | 36c | 678.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…1f4cbacked Celtics | 65c | 678.46$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Timberwolves | 32c | 668.89$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Celtics | 62c | 648.24$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Timberwolves | 36c | 634.37$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Timberwolves | 39c | 611.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Celtics | 65c | 546.66$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Celtics | 73c | 546.4$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 55c | 543.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 541.85$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 45c | 534.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Celtics | 65c | 531.68$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…9e96backed Timberwolves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 38c | 506.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.