NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3464b483b6398e8eb0b128de89c7ba4dc93c4efec8af9885b91cbd2629cbd5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $796,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,028,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Kings | 29c | 197,963$57,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,116.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Kings | 79c | 84,920$67,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,547.59 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 72c | 78,468$56,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,320.33 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 69c | 58,789$40,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,836.56 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 43,034$30,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,448.34 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 23,000$15,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,410 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Kings | 25c | 20,000$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,036.42 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 62c | 15,000$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 21c | 12,229$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,719.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Cavaliers | 76c | 10,855$8,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings | 34c | 9,075$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.09 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 6,086$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.78 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,563$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Kings | 45c | 5,510$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 20c | 5,395$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.87 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cavaliers | 77c | 5,172$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Kings | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Kings | 26c | 4,999$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.24 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Cavaliers | 4c | 4,450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 35c | 4,019$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,661$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.92 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,641$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.24 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Kings | 22c | 3,116$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.09 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 20c | 2,955$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.29 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings | 20c | 2,555$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,317$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 20c | 2,139$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.09 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Cavaliers | 2c | 2,111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,040$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.33 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,999$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,970$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.94 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,924$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,842$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.88 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 21c | 1,500$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,409$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.24 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kings | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,253$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.78 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…7f70backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,245$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Cavaliers | 3c | 1,070$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Kings | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.56 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,059$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.8 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Kings | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 965$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…d359backed Kings | 25c | 865.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Cavaliers | 73c | 811.53$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.39 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 20c | 800$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Kings | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Kings | 44c | 732.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.85 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 43c | 703.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 700$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…0e84backed Cavaliers | 63c | 687.08$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Kings | 26c | 583.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.19 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 26c | 579.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cavaliers | 72c | 577.76$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers | 56c | 550$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.53 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 42c | 541.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 37c | 541.38$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kings | 21c | 540$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.2 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…1adbbacked Kings | 19c | 514.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Kings | 58c | 512.95$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 19c | 504.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 20c | 496.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Kings | 19c | 466.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.26 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Cavaliers | 26c | 440.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Kings | 27c | 374.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 362.26$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 345.78$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 320.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…424cbacked Kings | 22c | 318.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…152cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 317.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Cavaliers | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 299.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers | 5c | 292.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 55c | 285.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Kings | 21c | 280.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed Kings | 21c | 272.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 132 | 36.4%48 W · 84 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 24c | 259.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kings | 73c | 251.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…e134backed Cavaliers | 79c | 236.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 14c | 222$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…ff37backed Kings | 20c | 207.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Cavaliers | 26c | 206.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…1ac9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 206.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…c464backed Kings | 21c | 199.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cavaliers | 80c | 195.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Kings | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.