CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: Nemiga vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57baa76864347a2dc29ebd31f0a716b48e45d1becb3e28be56ff3b9e959660b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Nemiga, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Nemiga | 21c | 21,247$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked G2 | 79c | 20,000$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nemiga | 11c | 8,834$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga | 1c | 6,524$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Nemiga | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nemiga | 24c | 3,710$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nemiga | 11c | 1,793$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Nemiga | 12c | 1,595$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nemiga | 18c | 1,576$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.7 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Nemiga | 20c | 1,573$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nemiga | 12c | 1,014$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…cc9fbacked Nemiga | 17c | 904.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nemiga | 14c | 884.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nemiga | 6c | 700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Nemiga | 19c | 676.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Nemiga | 19c | 650$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nemiga | 11c | 534.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Nemiga | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Nemiga | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Nemiga | 18c | 444.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Nemiga | 19c | 426.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 10c | 305.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Nemiga | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nemiga | 20c | 266.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nemiga | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Nemiga | 14c | 202.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Nemiga | 15c | 200.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Nemiga | 24c | 197.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Nemiga | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked G2 | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Nemiga | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Nemiga | 13c | 117.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed Nemiga | 18c | 97.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed G2 | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.