CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: Liquid vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x387f09d86a85989cb94612c839838566d579d71074e4e8d28243130eabc6ff2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Liquid | 29c | 10,786$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,622.39 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Liquid | 31c | 7,926$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed FURIA | 71c | 5,462$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Liquid | 47c | 3,816$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked FURIA | 71c | 3,059$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.61 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed FURIA | 71c | 2,961$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked FURIA | 70c | 2,840$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FURIA | 70c | 2,100$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Liquid | 50c | 2,018$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.01 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed FURIA | 69c | 2,000$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked FURIA | 79c | 2,000$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liquid | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed FURIA | 2c | 1,810$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Liquid | 30c | 1,771$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.35 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed FURIA | 71c | 1,192$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.16 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked FURIA | 73c | 1,054$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Liquid | 30c | 1,002$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.28 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FURIA | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Liquid | 28c | 930.71$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.11 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FURIA | 70c | 883.14$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed FURIA | 35c | 800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Liquid | 30c | 670.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.96 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 30c | 666$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed FURIA | 76c | 660.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA | 70c | 650.29$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed FURIA | 70c | 578.57$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FURIA | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked FURIA | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked FURIA | 69c | 471.01$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Liquid | 37c | 406.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed FURIA | 52c | 377.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 70c | 336$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 44c | 330.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Liquid | 30c | 320$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed FURIA | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Liquid | 24c | 275$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Liquid | 28c | 253.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…14c3backed FURIA | 67c | 235.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Liquid | 24c | 220$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…75e7backed FURIA | 70c | 215.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FURIA | 71c | 199.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Liquid | 16c | 186$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 70c | 185$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Liquid | 15c | 168.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked FURIA | 69c | 166.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked FURIA | 31c | 154.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Liquid | 29c | 152.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FURIA | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked FURIA | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1671…b758backed FURIA | 22c | 135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Liquid | 30c | 115.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked FURIA | 57c | 110.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Liquid | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed FURIA | 71c | 87.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FURIA | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked FURIA | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid | 19c | 70.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed FURIA | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…11febacked FURIA | 76c | 60.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Liquid | 37c | 53.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed Liquid | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed FURIA | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed FURIA | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked FURIA | 74c | 36.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed FURIA | 76c | 27.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…ab79backed FURIA | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked FURIA | 70c | 21.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed FURIA | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.