CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Open: fnatic vs. GamerLegion

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc5299a480e7efc3951f13c4cdff43bc317619415e44f45d1da4982a9cc352a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: fnaticof fnatic, GamerLegion
Resolved: Aug 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked fnatic	54c	20,200$10,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,270.58	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked fnatic	39c	13,050$5,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,018.33	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed GamerLegion	50c	9,086$4,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,522.27	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed GamerLegion	48c	6,250$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.86	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed fnatic	41c	5,690$2,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,358.8	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed GamerLegion	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.99	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked GamerLegion	63c	4,062$2,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,557.41	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked GamerLegion	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed GamerLegion	2c	3,918$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.75	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed fnatic	66c	3,451$2,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked GamerLegion	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed fnatic	41c	2,521$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.65	163	35%57 W · 106 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed GamerLegion	44c	2,400$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-40%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed fnatic	34c	2,200$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452	216	45.4%98 W · 118 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked GamerLegion	63c	1,500$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GamerLegion	36c	1,466$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.15	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion	38c	1,421$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed GamerLegion	58c	1,361$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.01	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed GamerLegion	58c	1,190$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.49	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed GamerLegion	49c	1,000$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked GamerLegion	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	68cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed GamerLegion	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.9	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed fnatic	39c	965.99$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.2	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed GamerLegion	10c	955$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.02	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed GamerLegion	60c	799.99$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion	60c	777$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.2	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked GamerLegion	37c	758$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.46	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion	35c	714$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	602	48.7%293 W · 309 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed GamerLegion	60c	600$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	463	40.8%189 W · 274 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked GamerLegion	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked GamerLegion	39c	587.95$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.3	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed GamerLegion	49c	579.07$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.5	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked GamerLegion	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed fnatic	43c	485.71$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.1	109	33%36 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked GamerLegion	39c	425.08$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.78	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked GamerLegion	61c	409.84$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed GamerLegion	22c	400.42$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed GamerLegion	32c	296.88$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed GamerLegion	73c	273.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	687	53.9%370 W · 317 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed fnatic	41c	244.88$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.88	367	51%187 W · 180 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed fnatic	46c	211.53$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.76	186	24.2%45 W · 141 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed GamerLegion	60c	170$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	145	40.7%59 W · 86 L	-10.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1caf…7e6abacked GamerLegion	47c	166.62$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.12	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e2…253bbacked GamerLegion	39c	150$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d46…93acbacked GamerLegion	38c	140.03$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.56	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed fnatic	40c	139.18$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.71	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed GamerLegion	39c	135$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.65	121	31.4%38 W · 83 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed GamerLegion	61c	134.92$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.3	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed GamerLegion	35c	130$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked GamerLegion	51c	128.29$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	317	58%184 W · 133 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed GamerLegion	38c	125$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed GamerLegion	18c	122$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	633	45.2%286 W · 347 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion	60c	120$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	421	49.6%209 W · 212 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked fnatic	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	172	36.6%63 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked fnatic	59c	95.11$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed fnatic	35c	92.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed GamerLegion	65c	92.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked GamerLegion	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked fnatic	36c	75$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	307	48.9%150 W · 157 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed GamerLegion	50c	69.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed GamerLegion	61c	69.2$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.21	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked fnatic	64c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed GamerLegion	61c	58.55$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed GamerLegion	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	300	39.7%119 W · 181 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed fnatic	41c	51.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked fnatic	41c	45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.55	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked GamerLegion	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed GamerLegion	42c	37.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked GamerLegion	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a0…2633backed GamerLegion	61c	29.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6023…a142backed GamerLegion	55c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a71…f9c9backed fnatic	41c	26.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…2875backed fnatic	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed fnatic	69c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	66cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BLAST Open: fnatic vs. GamerLegion

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market