CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: Astralis vs. Natus Vincere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c96e5bedc1bf51ff54b357559233aa3eab489e0c30e645492596850d41d4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 95,152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 21,363$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Astralis | 33c | 18,342$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,293.15 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 10,855$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.99 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 7,975$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 6,673$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.84 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astralis | 43c | 5,048$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.55 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,069$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 53c | 1,576$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.49 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,507$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.67 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Astralis | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.2 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Astralis | 31c | 1,052$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 999.5$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.66 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 33c | 974.57$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.62 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6bdbbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 952.24$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 903.08$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 900$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.53 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astralis | 28c | 897.78$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.7 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Astralis | 26c | 779.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 779.41$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 710$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ac…f7d3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 649.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 600.68$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Astralis | 25c | 592.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.31 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Astralis | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Astralis | 28c | 542.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 517.89$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.87 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Astralis | 33c | 397.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Astralis | 27c | 390.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 336.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 310.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astralis | 31c | 295.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Astralis | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 280$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…11febacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 263.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Astralis | 17c | 257.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 252.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Astralis | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…7822backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 222.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 220.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…3155backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 219.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astralis | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Astralis | 25c | 194.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Astralis | 45c | 186.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 170$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Astralis | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 124.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astralis | 27c | 112$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 110.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 102.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Astralis | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Astralis | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Astralis | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Astralis | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Astralis | 33c | 92.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Astralis | 33c | 87.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Astralis | 14c | 74.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 68.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Astralis | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…c14ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 54.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Astralis | 28c | 51.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Astralis | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Astralis | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…99c7backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…c791backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 19.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 16.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 15.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.