MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf477a46d39ff5a8ea1e89ef708bc47b8b47a497167897d6f0623244e2cbde803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs | 61c | 29,717$18,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,448.49 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Brewers | 48c | 25,397$12,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,139.73 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 57c | 23,141$13,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950.69 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 43c | 22,978$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880.41 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 48c | 20,628$9,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,901.44 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 51c | 18,869$9,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cubs | 52c | 18,822$9,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,105.29 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cubs | 72c | 16,344$11,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.54 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers | 49c | 16,222$7,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905.96 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 48c | 15,111$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.28 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Brewers | 48c | 14,157$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Brewers | 44c | 12,959$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.77 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Cubs | 59c | 10,436$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 69c | 9,113$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.32 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 54c | 8,793$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.77 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 11c | 8,731$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cubs | 58c | 7,500$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.98 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Brewers | 42c | 5,030$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Brewers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.19 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 42c | 4,730$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 50c | 4,166$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.88 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 34c | 4,000$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.02 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…577dbacked Cubs | 52c | 3,801$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…dbddbacked Brewers | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Cubs | 58c | 3,745$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 42c | 3,700$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Brewers | 38c | 3,541$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.03 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 42c | 3,435$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 19c | 3,419$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 74c | 3,307$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 19c | 3,113$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.27 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 43c | 3,051$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.87 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs | 63c | 3,038$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.81 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 22c | 2,402$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers | 23c | 2,400$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 28c | 2,081$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.81 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Brewers | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Brewers | 6c | 1,985$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,951$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.49 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 35c | 1,805$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Brewers | 49c | 1,777$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.6 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Brewers | 15c | 1,625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 22c | 1,600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,520$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 56c | 1,507$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 28c | 1,457$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.07 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Cubs | 51c | 1,341$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.42 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Brewers | 26c | 1,273$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 47c | 1,261$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.14 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Brewers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cubs | 55c | 1,169$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.11 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…a9a1backed Cubs | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 72c | 1,154$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 7c | 1,134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Brewers | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,038$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Brewers | 39c | 1,034$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.75 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cubs | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.16 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cubs | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cubs | 50c | 995.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.43 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 50c | 989$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 34c | 985.46$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 49c | 974$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.27 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 51c | 957.97$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.41 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked Brewers | 31c | 937.12$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Cubs | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…e2b5backed Cubs | 52c | 846$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 46c | 738.49$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Brewers | 48c | 688.97$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.82 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 42c | 634.42$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.46 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 14c | 523.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 46c | 520.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 47c | 519.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Brewers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 48c | 420.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Brewers | 45c | 403.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 50c | 399.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 45c | 397.18$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 49c | 389.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 45c | 349.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…27e8backed Brewers | 9c | 303.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 52c | 300.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Cubs | 57c | 293$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 48c | 291.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Brewers | 43c | 278.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Cubs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Cubs | 53c | 257.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.