MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b0241b66bf6a5263fe8541ef4776e6244e152fb5cdcd04037cc647e1aa1b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Nationals, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Nationals | 66c | 28,873$19,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,134.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Royals | 59c | 26,441$15,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,952.27 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Royals | 48c | 20,719$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,719.74 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 41c | 10,600$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 25c | 7,339$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.79 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nationals | 42c | 5,619$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.98 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Nationals | 61c | 5,207$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.9 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 57c | 5,161$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 38c | 3,889$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 43c | 3,861$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.22 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 50c | 3,830$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.02 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Royals | 56c | 3,573$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.6 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 42c | 2,559$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.89 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Royals | 53c | 1,896$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.43 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Nationals | 43c | 1,814$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nationals | 42c | 1,652$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.63 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Nationals | 31c | 1,509$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 42c | 1,458$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Nationals | 61c | 1,384$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.91 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 38c | 1,344$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.31 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Royals | 58c | 1,334$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Nationals | 49c | 1,182$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.59 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Royals | 57c | 1,088$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Nationals | 43c | 1,065$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 41c | 1,060$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Nationals | 43c | 1,035$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Royals | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Nationals | 31c | 1,018$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,016$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Royals | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 41c | 990$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…8d36backed Royals | 57c | 919$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…b194backed Royals | 57c | 895$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 67c | 874.63$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Nationals | 25c | 765.62$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Royals | 58c | 764.17$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 72c | 694.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nationals | 42c | 673$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 41c | 648$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 2c | 590.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 36c | 572.31$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royals | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 42c | 439.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Royals | 57c | 434.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Royals | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 40c | 400.16$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 42c | 351.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Royals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 58c | 344$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 58c | 273.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Nationals | 43c | 256.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Nationals | 43c | 253.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Royals | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Nationals | 30c | 246.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 42c | 238.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 43c | 220.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Royals | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 52c | 188.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…f2b7backed Nationals | 43c | 181.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…74fbbacked Nationals | 44c | 175.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 69c | 173$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nationals | 49c | 171$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 57c | 162.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Royals | 59c | 162.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Royals | 42c | 154.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nationals | 50c | 150.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nationals | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 48c | 135.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nationals | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Royals | 58c | 121.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Royals | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…19febacked Royals | 58c | 120.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Royals | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 41c | 119.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Nationals | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Nationals | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.