TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox43c91,229$39,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,228.331,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…7a07backed Tigers57c64,684$36,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,813.9912043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers57c15,330$8,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,578.1126355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed White Sox41c6,121$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.5954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tigers57c4,992$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.561,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers64c4,900$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers57c4,281$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.452,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Tigers57c3,593$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.1424040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox43c2,892$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox36c2,737$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.579,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Tigers45c2,242$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.449759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed White Sox40c2,078$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.3538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed White Sox42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed White Sox43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9795950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed White Sox2c1,971$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.432242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Tigers47c1,697$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.226453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers58c1,506$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…fa8fbacked White Sox43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…d17bbacked Tigers56c1,407$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…c0f2backed Tigers57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers53c1,353$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox43c1,342$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.981,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7367…fed2backed White Sox44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf637…d92ebacked White Sox44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers58c1,146$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6125551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox6c1,134$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.011,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox42c1,060$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1550843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed White Sox44c1,052$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers57c1,048$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.961,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox42c1,004$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.681,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked White Sox43c998.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.565850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…ea97backed Tigers56c992.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox42c989.97$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.7924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox44c914.28$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.2843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox17c903.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked White Sox46c781.27$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1443946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Tigers56c741.61$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers56c665$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.111,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox42c647.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers58c625$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers63c619$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed White Sox49c610$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8210033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed White Sox33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Tigers67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1988360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…4099backed Tigers79c574.71$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.573360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked White Sox43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed White Sox43c459.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox12c443$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.231,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers53c401.89$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8919852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers74c400$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7d…4d56backed White Sox34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda76…0838backed White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765238.5%20 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2f1…a93dbacked Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765042%21 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea5…a429backed Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…5b7ebacked Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5013…5aaebacked Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bd…982bbacked White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe560…feb1backed White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1764944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x244d…b7ccbacked White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1764942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a6…b82ebacked Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765044%22 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe61…181dbacked White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765036%18 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f10…de4abacked Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3329…f78cbacked White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765038%19 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers62c400$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2a…3d34backed Tigers57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa254…cf3abacked White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765046%23 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc4…8225backed Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765052%26 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e17…3172backed Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765149%25 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ba…9b19backed White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765036%18 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4c8…a165backed Tigers56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c9…72b7backed White Sox44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765036%18 W · 32 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers57c352.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.771,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Tigers57c352.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.583863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Tigers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8856351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.51,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Tigers61c325.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.736443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers62c313.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.954,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc041…3becbacked White Sox43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Tigers56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13218249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked White Sox46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.527458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox43c299.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.983,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox39c289.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.921,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed White Sox44c252.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Tigers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked White Sox45c239.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6632754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers57c229.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.852,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5911…a5a8backed White Sox44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox44c215.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.921,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Tigers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5a…d1bbbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Tigers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed Tigers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed Tigers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Tigers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.