CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: The MongolZ vs. Aurora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6901cb0e06d1baed2d9fdd49c08800ae636a39801a11b5cd7b818a764dcab8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Aurora | 46c | 65,432$29,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,882.89 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed The MongolZ | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Aurora | 45c | 32,082$14,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,282.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed The MongolZ | 55c | 29,996$16,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.33 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Aurora | 44c | 27,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.98 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked The MongolZ | 60c | 19,054$11,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,704.66 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Aurora | 43c | 15,768$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.09 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aurora | 35c | 14,045$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed The MongolZ | 56c | 12,219$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.89 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Aurora | 36c | 12,212$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.11 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ | 53c | 10,832$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.05 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked The MongolZ | 57c | 9,904$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked The MongolZ | 58c | 6,870$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed The MongolZ | 63c | 1,848$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.32 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,723$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.74 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,627$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,598$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.14 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 42c | 1,501$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.6 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Aurora | 30c | 1,397$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.74 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 1,266$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.43 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,150$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Aurora | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Aurora | 20c | 1,120$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…c03bbacked The MongolZ | 56c | 1,061$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9c67backed The MongolZ | 56c | 1,039$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Aurora | 9c | 1,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aurora | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked The MongolZ | 56c | 979.49$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.97 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec0…08ecbacked Aurora | 44c | 964$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed The MongolZ | 57c | 937.86$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.9 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed The MongolZ | 57c | 916.75$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 42c | 886.19$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.48 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed The MongolZ | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 863.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.64 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Aurora | 32c | 835.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.92 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Aurora | 42c | 820$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed The MongolZ | 57c | 760.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…0a90backed The MongolZ | 76c | 738.84$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed The MongolZ | 65c | 700$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 685.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Aurora | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed The MongolZ | 58c | 675.62$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ | 56c | 575$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed The MongolZ | 56c | 560$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed The MongolZ | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed The MongolZ | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked The MongolZ | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed The MongolZ | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Aurora | 40c | 498.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed The MongolZ | 55c | 495.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed The MongolZ | 56c | 484.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed The MongolZ | 60c | 448.33$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed The MongolZ | 55c | 365.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…4a02backed The MongolZ | 75c | 295$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Aurora | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The MongolZ | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed The MongolZ | 58c | 281.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Aurora | 8c | 281.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aurora | 5c | 280$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…9026backed The MongolZ | 57c | 270.18$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed The MongolZ | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…2591backed Aurora | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Aurora | 35c | 216.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 213.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed Aurora | 49c | 204.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Aurora | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked The MongolZ | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked The MongolZ | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed The MongolZ | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…d6b4backed The MongolZ | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Aurora | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed The MongolZ | 65c | 153.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed The MongolZ | 57c | 145.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed The MongolZ | 54c | 138$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 130.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed The MongolZ | 62c | 120.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed The MongolZ | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed The MongolZ | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed The MongolZ | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked The MongolZ | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked The MongolZ | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed The MongolZ | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed The MongolZ | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Aurora | 39c | 86.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed The MongolZ | 57c | 85.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed The MongolZ | 57c | 78.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked The MongolZ | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed The MongolZ | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.