MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb7a49f21744d9cdcb1f0c5a9abb58b3b54a5d81902721964a7fdd6a3d0dbde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Red Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 42c | 124,798$52,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,534.01 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 48,000$27,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,840 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 17,797$10,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322.26 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 58c | 15,410$8,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,971.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 58c | 14,900$8,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 13,692$7,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Red Sox | 64c | 12,867$8,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.23 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 59c | 8,740$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.2 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 7,333$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Astros | 22c | 6,976$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.95 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 38c | 6,905$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Red Sox | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 47c | 5,877$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.27 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Astros | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 61c | 3,822$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.42 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Astros | 42c | 3,678$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Sox | 73c | 2,875$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.52 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.22 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,339$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Astros | 42c | 2,150$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 26c | 2,040$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.89 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 60c | 2,028$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.96 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 39c | 1,940$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 23c | 1,775$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Astros | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Astros | 39c | 1,522$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Astros | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 1,361$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.12 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 72c | 1,243$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Astros | 24c | 1,083$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.82 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 17c | 1,013$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…e162backed Red Sox | 60c | 917$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…9545backed Red Sox | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Red Sox | 12c | 768.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 33c | 744.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 14c | 710$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Red Sox | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 39c | 550$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 60c | 534.84$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 10c | 497$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Red Sox | 61c | 493.44$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 38c | 374.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Red Sox | 60c | 353$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 6c | 331.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Astros | 46c | 322.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 31c | 320.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…b2a8backed Red Sox | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 40c | 307$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 39c | 300.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 39c | 299.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Red Sox | 23c | 290$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Red Sox | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 31c | 262.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Astros | 40c | 250.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 38c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 40c | 237.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 40c | 228.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 33c | 226.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 9c | 224.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Red Sox | 37c | 203.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Red Sox | 62c | 201.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 74c | 195.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 40c | 179.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Astros | 33c | 179.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 37c | 176.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 165.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Red Sox | 10c | 157.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 40c | 155.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Red Sox | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Astros | 40c | 143.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…362abacked Astros | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Red Sox | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Red Sox | 59c | 123.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Astros | 39c | 119.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Red Sox | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Astros | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Red Sox | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.