CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: Vitality vs. Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f873666b3302d91f5beeb5fe9a54c17bc1c7c7e7ffd651dea9bc1dfd785451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Liquid | 9c | 35,577$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.41 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Liquid | 9c | 8,741$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid | 1c | 6,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Liquid | 10c | 4,102$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.81 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 4c | 2,955$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Liquid | 8c | 2,043$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 10c | 1,660$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid | 11c | 1,324$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Liquid | 6c | 1,319$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Liquid | 11c | 1,286$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…0a90backed Liquid | 10c | 1,013$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Liquid | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Liquid | 10c | 965.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Liquid | 10c | 950$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Liquid | 11c | 888.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Liquid | 10c | 880$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Liquid | 10c | 783.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Liquid | 19c | 687.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Liquid | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Liquid | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Liquid | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Liquid | 9c | 384.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Liquid | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Liquid | 12c | 338.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Liquid | 6c | 329$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed Liquid | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Liquid | 10c | 204.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Liquid | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Liquid | 11c | 173.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Liquid | 9c | 145.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Liquid | 11c | 125.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Vitality | 76c | 101.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.