TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Rockies, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc30c…e1b4backed Cardinals67c9,690$6,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies11c5,807$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.0954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.991,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cardinals66c2,901$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.8536047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Cardinals69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.6713553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies35c2,894$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.511,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals67c2,498$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.161,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies33c2,234$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.462,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Cardinals66c2,180$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.314453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals42c2,158$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.652,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…cff0backed Cardinals69c1,957$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies34c1,943$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.571,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies62c1,815$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.281,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rockies34c1,777$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.175850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals67c1,724$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee5…208cbacked Rockies31c1,658$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals65c1,633$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.4548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b65…0704backed Rockies31c1,584$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals65c1,432$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f5…84bcbacked Cardinals69c1,285$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockies33c1,223$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Rockies32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies32c1,060$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies34c1,040$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4343247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies35c1,035$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rockies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies6c975.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Rockies36c806.85$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.852770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies35c699.91$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies70c664.61$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies33c624.39$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies49c617.27$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.076,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies2c613.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.545053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies32c523.73$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals46c463.21$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.294,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals55c448$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.321,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7925454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies33c374.38$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Rockies30c371.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.641520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies68c349.26$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68c…eda5backed Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Cardinals65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Cardinals66c301.04$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3516551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Rockies33c284.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies33c279.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals66c252$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.682,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals43c238.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…5e30backed Cardinals70c203.49$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.491392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockies32c193.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals35c172$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0732754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals66c161$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.741,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Cardinals66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1331244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals65c149.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Cardinals67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc379…362abacked Rockies34c146.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3569…008bbacked Rockies35c143.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Rockies8c131.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies21c127.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.619,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Cardinals37c126.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2127458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies31c124.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Cardinals66c116.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4518148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe1…4e47backed Cardinals68c113.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.412556%14 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals28c112.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8234164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff0…2435backed Rockies20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7968…5283backed Rockies35c108.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.023253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals45c104.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…6f40backed Cardinals70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…93cebacked Cardinals70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3418249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da0…9842backed Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d8…7e4dbacked Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe929…a768backed Cardinals66c97.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.073158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Cardinals67c96.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.267164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4628…5ea0backed Cardinals68c95.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe913…74fbbacked Rockies34c93.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a5…3120backed Cardinals66c91.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.262653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f77…3f95backed Rockies33c86.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.472842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Cardinals66c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5614654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies32c84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies31c80.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Cardinals69c78.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2111257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad26…981dbacked Rockies35c76.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.812846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Cardinals66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7625551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Cardinals66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.