CS2 · resolved market
EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4da8f54d9844b68fa0419f67c7a09464f63b54bb03df4b47ac350701ea91a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Liquid | 11c | 28,102$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.89 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…81d6backed Liquid | 0c | 15,973$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 6c | 3,502$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Liquid | 3c | 3,437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Liquid | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Liquid | 12c | 1,672$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.67 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Liquid | 8c | 1,600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Liquid | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…fff3backed Liquid | 12c | 816.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Liquid | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Liquid | 6c | 689.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Liquid | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Liquid | 10c | 578.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Liquid | 12c | 500.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Liquid | 10c | 490$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Liquid | 11c | 449.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Liquid | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked Liquid | 13c | 383.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Liquid | 14c | 375.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Liquid | 6c | 319.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid | 15c | 300.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Liquid | 12c | 204$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed Liquid | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…5261backed Liquid | 10c | 137.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Liquid | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Liquid | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Liquid | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Liquid | 11c | 99.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Liquid | 13c | 91.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.