TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST Bounty: Vitality vs. The MongolZ

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The MongolZof Vitality, The MongolZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94a1…ec2fbacked The MongolZ61c35,775$21,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,993.2816357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Vitality51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,75021645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Vitality17c15,244$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.0513532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed The MongolZ24c8,500$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,459.9922849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed The MongolZ44c8,477$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,784.2228248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked The MongolZ26c6,883$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.254346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Vitality60c4,961$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked The MongolZ24c4,116$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.419647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed The MongolZ49c3,647$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.477060%42 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed Vitality35c3,565$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.034864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Vitality67c3,394$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.665149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Vitality66c2,700$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78312843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed The MongolZ64c2,540$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.396842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d46…93acbacked Vitality70c2,433$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Vitality62c2,158$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3409838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Vitality76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed The MongolZ26c1,935$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.733036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Vitality73c1,761$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.233215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed The MongolZ24c1,683$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.838751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4051…0a90backed Vitality55c1,367$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Vitality77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ35c1,254$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7924440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Vitality76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x949f…4a02backed Vitality51c992.86$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality76c987.28$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.3321251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Vitality55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality42c794.64$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1535341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed The MongolZ24c779.17$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.173743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fe…71d6backed Vitality55c703.51$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.939048.9%44 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Vitality57c670$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38113235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Vitality76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff5…8c56backed Vitality56c646.26$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed The MongolZ46c600$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32321846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Vitality29c580$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.449542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8604…bbcabacked Vitality19c555.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.482520%5 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ21c553.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.2446340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ21c536.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Vitality44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed Vitality61c496.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Vitality51c456$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6514846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…3be3backed Vitality58c449$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Vitality19c425.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Vitality56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed The MongolZ23c336.96$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9658961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Vitality79c333$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.071,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Vitality75c302.67$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2279860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed The MongolZ23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Vitality74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality75c260$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19563345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5715…2591backed Vitality80c259.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Vitality19c255$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked The MongolZ80c225.36$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2826351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Vitality8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Vitality63c199$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked Vitality76c193.49$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Vitality26c185.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed The MongolZ25c165$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.758330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Vitality79c151.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed The MongolZ24c148.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.111827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8257…f579backed Vitality26c139.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Vitality64c125.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality16c125.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…7cfbbacked Vitality27c124.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked The MongolZ25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Vitality45c119.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422556%126 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed The MongolZ23c101.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.033141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ24c100.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2556738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…c86cbacked Vitality68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality54c97.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8282146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0e…78afbacked The MongolZ23c95.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…1574backed Vitality52c88.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cf…b70cbacked Vitality56c76.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Vitality15c71.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Vitality77c58.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.894959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45e7…08ebbacked Vitality42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166723.9%16 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0f6…8230backed Vitality76c45.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Vitality71c45.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f5…8febbacked Vitality56c44.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Vitality52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.818624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality79c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.435454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…204ebacked Vitality65c30.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204658.7%27 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d61…c29dbacked The MongolZ47c30.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality56c29.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.473658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality69c28.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed Vitality77c15.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.196454.7%35 W · 29 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4076…04acbacked Vitality76c15.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa1…c02dbacked Vitality79c12.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.