CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Spirit
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c214a014865add4c6e299a0ebb825548e8489931ae439b82e33df0c16c1702c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 40c | 17,487$7,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.13 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Spirit | 51c | 10,486$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.27 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked MOUZ | 50c | 8,303$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Spirit | 60c | 4,582$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.6 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Spirit | 59c | 4,147$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.07 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,584$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spirit | 55c | 2,909$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.21 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Spirit | 75c | 2,134$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.66 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Spirit | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Spirit | 60c | 1,912$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Spirit | 59c | 1,878$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Spirit | 60c | 1,860$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,840$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.69 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Spirit | 60c | 1,791$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,696$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Spirit | 56c | 1,326$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,041$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…1986backed Spirit | 59c | 1,002$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 38c | 963.33$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 887.12$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MOUZ | 40c | 876.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Spirit | 58c | 800$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 51c | 776.16$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 753.91$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked MOUZ | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spirit | 59c | 724.2$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Spirit | 58c | 669.71$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Spirit | 60c | 633.33$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ | 41c | 630$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spirit | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Spirit | 57c | 600$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…1401backed MOUZ | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked MOUZ | 42c | 579.07$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 68c | 549$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed MOUZ | 44c | 455.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked MOUZ | 44c | 454.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 14c | 417.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed MOUZ | 56c | 405.27$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed MOUZ | 25c | 393.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked MOUZ | 60c | 350$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Spirit | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 66c | 317.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Spirit | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed Spirit | 58c | 263.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…38edbacked MOUZ | 20c | 249.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit | 60c | 224.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 48c | 207.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked MOUZ | 56c | 203.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Spirit | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…95fbbacked MOUZ | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Spirit | 60c | 191.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed MOUZ | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Spirit | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Spirit | 46c | 165.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Spirit | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Spirit | 56c | 154$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed MOUZ | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed MOUZ | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 58c | 137.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Spirit | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked Spirit | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed MOUZ | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Spirit | 60c | 102.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Spirit | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Spirit | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed MOUZ | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spirit | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked Spirit | 52c | 98.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Spirit | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Spirit | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…78afbacked Spirit | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…8230backed Spirit | 68c | 73.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Spirit | 60c | 68.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Spirit | 50c | 51.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…f594backed Spirit | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Spirit | 60c | 49.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed MOUZ | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 45.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Spirit | 60c | 44.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spirit | 56c | 44.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…4578backed Spirit | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MOUZ | 41c | 43.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Spirit | 60c | 41.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Spirit | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…1574backed Spirit | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.