CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: MOUZ vs. Astralis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06c6661c7bf8c5c2b1554fb7dea715dc1842acbe79389d7f04dffa37c16ea98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 29c | 25,764$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,396.23 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Astralis | 6c | 21,139$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.29 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed MOUZ | 71c | 12,591$8,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.43 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Astralis | 29c | 8,653$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.38 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Astralis | 41c | 3,387$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astralis | 28c | 3,314$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.18 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 70c | 3,270$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.32 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed MOUZ | 72c | 2,900$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked MOUZ | 70c | 2,863$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked MOUZ | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 29c | 1,989$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.89 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 1,703$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.02 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,695$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.1 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Astralis | 14c | 1,452$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,378$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.09 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,358$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 25c | 895$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 72c | 890$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked MOUZ | 72c | 866.32$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed MOUZ | 63c | 715.69$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 708$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 71c | 702.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Astralis | 4c | 675$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MOUZ | 73c | 631.24$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Astralis | 25c | 593.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed MOUZ | 72c | 526.87$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Astralis | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…75e7backed MOUZ | 72c | 487.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked MOUZ | 69c | 469.29$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed MOUZ | 75c | 453.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 69c | 437.07$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 73c | 436.61$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed MOUZ | 71c | 349.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 73c | 342.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 75c | 324$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Astralis | 32c | 314.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed MOUZ | 70c | 299.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Astralis | 12c | 286.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…c8d8backed MOUZ | 71c | 279.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Astralis | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed MOUZ | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 71c | 250$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 72c | 237.14$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis | 12c | 213$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…7205backed Astralis | 30c | 193.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Astralis | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked MOUZ | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed MOUZ | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed MOUZ | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Astralis | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed MOUZ | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 93.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked MOUZ | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed MOUZ | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…8c88backed MOUZ | 71c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astralis | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Astralis | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Astralis | 37c | 54.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 25c | 46.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed MOUZ | 72c | 40.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed MOUZ | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked MOUZ | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…8febbacked MOUZ | 67c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed MOUZ | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.