TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$608,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No73c50,343$36,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,750.2621853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c38,912$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.34,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes28c36,061$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,061.383246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c25,774$7,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,757.151,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c16,310$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,863.471,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c15,518$11,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,173.312,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes30c10,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No72c7,248$5,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.665754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Yes73c7,140$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c5,926$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c5,474$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.5446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c5,204$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.951,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f87…6c18backed Yes29c5,013$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c4,408$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.681,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Yes29c4,200$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9863030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes29c3,947$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.3130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c3,729$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.9856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a93…0cf5backed No71c3,479$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…14d4backed Yes29c3,410$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ba5…0d6bbacked Yes29c3,161$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.315100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c3,050$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c3,039$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.4730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6706…cd14backed Yes29c2,989$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab56…890cbacked Yes29c2,860$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d66…6bbfbacked Yes29c2,818$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes27c2,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No72c2,499$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.2818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85db…fd7dbacked Yes29c2,492$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…c6f3backed Yes29c2,484$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1c…7f2dbacked No71c2,348$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa571…2be9backed Yes29c2,338$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x995b…bb97backed Yes29c2,309$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da1…c314backed Yes29c2,244$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab19…f7fabacked Yes29c2,229$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c2,164$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No74c2,131$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5777759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc429…e40ebacked Yes29c2,112$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdafa…f834backed No71c2,107$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1293…ff5abacked Yes29c2,085$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2080…e91bbacked Yes29c2,034$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ff…a364backed Yes29c1,962$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+109.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11fe…e2a0backed Yes29c1,958$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3b…042abacked No71c1,953$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…4f53backed Yes29c1,902$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+76.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x272f…a803backed Yes29c1,805$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…d405backed Yes29c1,789$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f97…0465backed Yes29c1,778$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5d1…2147backed Yes29c1,752$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.92650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc605…6d50backed Yes29c1,733$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4c…0779backed Yes29c1,725$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+112.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa4…e073backed Yes29c1,693$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…1cefbacked Yes29c1,688$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf17…2712backed Yes29c1,673$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb0…df22backed Yes29c1,662$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…49d0backed Yes29c1,646$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c1,639$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ee…0e2fbacked Yes29c1,636$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c1,623$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.6819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1723…e1aebacked Yes29c1,612$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes28c1,600$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1524658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfe…e2cabacked Yes29c1,554$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dce…a525backed Yes29c1,520$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+49.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No2c1,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef1…012abacked Yes29c1,487$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.776100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+83.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7af9…9dc4backed No71c1,452$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb77…b7f7backed Yes29c1,398$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.58850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f6c…ded8backed No71c1,397$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.87666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034f…a60cbacked No71c1,370$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…ce85backed Yes29c1,341$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f2…236dbacked No71c1,335$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bc…b74cbacked No71c1,332$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78a9…e51dbacked No71c1,319$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.49666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c1,302$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.6341437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…c9dfbacked No71c1,299$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…6470backed No71c1,279$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,279$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.541,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7436…2ffbbacked Yes29c1,260$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…1353backed Yes29c1,252$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e26…02f7backed No71c1,252$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…378abacked Yes29c1,249$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6f…a172backed Yes29c1,246$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No4c1,238$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88c…6bffbacked Yes29c1,238$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa7…d476backed No71c1,236$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf84c…fdb2backed Yes29c1,217$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c05…295bbacked Yes29c1,216$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ce…e7d1backed No71c1,206$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299c…45f5backed Yes29c1,184$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a06…ecc5backed Yes29c1,178$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fdd…56f3backed No71c1,151$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db3…0617backed No71c1,149$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…cf59backed Yes29c1,146$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4427…88f2backed Yes29c1,132$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9832…0479backed Yes29c1,132$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…5adcbacked Yes29c1,113$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No32c1,077$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.361,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.