TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes40c4,455$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.921,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No72c3,596$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.889763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c3,484$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No70c3,025$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.7320448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c2,276$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.32,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes27c1,868$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c1,607$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c1,538$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.921,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes24c1,234$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb19…8a05backed No71c1,093$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No65c858$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.167176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes28c662.39$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.473748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No62c617.65$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c600.64$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.644564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes27c584.51$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c531.15$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.031,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc9f…f2bbbacked No71c457.75$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No78c446.75$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.165754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes25c405.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff33…91fbbacked No71c383.1$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…a363backed No71c377.46$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5db…218ebacked No71c371.83$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes29c343.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8717748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86e…7395backed Yes23c309.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No69c302.6$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Yes12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…20f7backed No71c269.01$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8913…541cbacked Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509139.6%36 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56f9…8463backed No71c201.84$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c201.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c193.11$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c154.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.18145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc865…2c40backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes38c135.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3936036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No71c127.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8712965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes25c114.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2120446.6%95 W · 109 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes11c112.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes28c112$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.364637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c111.89$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes30c105.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe453…5604backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b4…9ef6backed No71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes25c98.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0827454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3191…6135backed No72c97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Yes30c95.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.713933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x840a…8fc8backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes23c92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.163517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes28c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.485058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes27c81.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes25c76.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.019242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes29c72.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1524044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe96c…3c52backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes30c66.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes25c64.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No72c57.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.123372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed No72c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…95c3backed Yes29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135545.5%25 W · 30 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+75.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb064…1d13backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.256358.7%37 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.449542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed No72c31.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes32c31.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked No72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4054…3442backed No80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.754281%34 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick79cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.