Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182aeeea58a17a03bbcc93f2166c48ab49df9a7c4da536acb319e2b45454319e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 45c | 65,930$29,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,668.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 23,263$10,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,623.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 55c | 20,922$11,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,414.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 16,557$9,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,450.79 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 11,247$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.58 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…9f11backed No | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 10,222$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.77 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 9,717$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 9,506$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 44c | 6,643$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.75 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 44c | 5,537$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.14 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 4,460$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.37 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.99 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 55c | 2,569$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.2 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 2,391$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.43 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 55c | 1,430$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 56c | 1,264$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.48 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 56c | 1,151$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.47 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.85 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…d9bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 54c | 999.92$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.96 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 44c | 978.37$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.48 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 70c | 938$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 56c | 937.64$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 893.5$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.97 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 63c | 888.08$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…d497backed No | 55c | 881.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 805.98$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 57c | 778.56$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…386cbacked Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Yes | 22c | 641.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 37c | 537.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 39c | 516.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 12c | 455$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 4c | 448$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Yes | 44c | 413.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 57c | 378.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…1f2bbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 326.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes | 39c | 266.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Yes | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes | 44c | 252$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 44c | 246.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 44c | 233.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 66c | 229.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 44c | 225.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…1566backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…aa11backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…d7a1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.