Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5559122ad8702deaf49c7a6dc4e12d537dab2ade3343c348846cf8bafd83dad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moutetof Dzumhur, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dzumhur | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Dzumhur | 23c | 9,005$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.33 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Moutet | 66c | 8,000$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.14 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dzumhur | 25c | 6,267$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Moutet | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Moutet | 62c | 3,273$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.6 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dzumhur | 14c | 2,925$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dzumhur | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dzumhur | 36c | 1,944$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dzumhur | 31c | 1,777$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.16 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dzumhur | 35c | 1,775$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dzumhur | 34c | 872.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Dzumhur | 37c | 717.56$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Dzumhur | 38c | 600.11$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Dzumhur | 16c | 522.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Dzumhur | 28c | 498.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dzumhur | 37c | 493$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dzumhur | 36c | 486.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Moutet | 64c | 441$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dzumhur | 35c | 409$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Dzumhur | 37c | 353.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Moutet | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Dzumhur | 18c | 276.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dzumhur | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Dzumhur | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Dzumhur | 36c | 177.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Moutet | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Moutet | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Moutet | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Dzumhur | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Dzumhur | 29c | 137.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…8208backed Dzumhur | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Moutet | 63c | 113.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dzumhur | 24c | 112.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dzumhur | 10c | 109.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…982dbacked Moutet | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Dzumhur | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a8a9backed Moutet | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Dzumhur | 23c | 85.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…f84cbacked Dzumhur | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Moutet | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Moutet | 66c | 77.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…c927backed Dzumhur | 17c | 73.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Moutet | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Moutet | 80c | 69.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Moutet | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Moutet | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dzumhur | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Moutet | 80c | 51.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Dzumhur | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Moutet | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…9126backed Moutet | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Moutet | 78c | 44.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…b88ebacked Dzumhur | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Dzumhur | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…94efbacked Moutet | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moutet | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Dzumhur | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Moutet | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…499bbacked Moutet | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.