TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinky Hijikataof Mackenzie McDonald, Rinky Hijikata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc181…0992backed Rinky Hijikata59c4,920$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.6465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald22c4,101$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Rinky Hijikata77c2,408$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.35265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Mackenzie McDonald21c1,480$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3724245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mackenzie McDonald43c1,389$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.261,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Mackenzie McDonald41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Mackenzie McDonald17c1,027$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.591028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Mackenzie McDonald42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mackenzie McDonald41c964.67$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.513,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Mackenzie McDonald21c933.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Mackenzie McDonald43c929.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Rinky Hijikata57c834.95$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.863,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Rinky Hijikata57c789.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.477256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Mackenzie McDonald20c756.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.191,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Rinky Hijikata79c756.16$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.64,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rinky Hijikata78c735.64$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.274,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Mackenzie McDonald31c623.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1913928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Rinky Hijikata58c569.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.062,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Rinky Hijikata58c564.53$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8857842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Mackenzie McDonald19c535.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Mackenzie McDonald39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mackenzie McDonald25c493.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mackenzie McDonald41c484.58$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.681,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rinky Hijikata78c465.32$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.374,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald23c461.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rinky Hijikata57c443.51$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Mackenzie McDonald42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Rinky Hijikata58c338.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.371,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Mackenzie McDonald16c313.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Rinky Hijikata54c297.89$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mackenzie McDonald31c287$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.852,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Rinky Hijikata76c281.36$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.865346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mackenzie McDonald17c275.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mackenzie McDonald44c245.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.171,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rinky Hijikata78c238.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.581,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mackenzie McDonald41c237.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.731,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Mackenzie McDonald43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Rinky Hijikata58c222.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4340554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Mackenzie McDonald19c210.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.051,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Rinky Hijikata60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…1c05backed Mackenzie McDonald44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed Mackenzie McDonald19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Rinky Hijikata56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8834154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9971…b123backed Rinky Hijikata59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mackenzie McDonald42c184.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.771,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Mackenzie McDonald24c183.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Mackenzie McDonald44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Mackenzie McDonald29c169.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1990335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Mackenzie McDonald44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Rinky Hijikata74c155$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mackenzie McDonald27c154.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.142,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Mackenzie McDonald22c142.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Rinky Hijikata78c126.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.921,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mackenzie McDonald41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Rinky Hijikata57c116.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.433647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Mackenzie McDonald46c107.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked Mackenzie McDonald42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Mackenzie McDonald20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Rinky Hijikata80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Rinky Hijikata57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4336161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Mackenzie McDonald19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mackenzie McDonald41c99.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.627,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mackenzie McDonald16c96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Mackenzie McDonald18c90.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6635444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Mackenzie McDonald16c86.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked Rinky Hijikata80c81.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Rinky Hijikata79c68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Rinky Hijikata54c67.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.166464.1%41 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Mackenzie McDonald39c67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1373748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald18c61.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mackenzie McDonald18c61.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.992,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Mackenzie McDonald42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Mackenzie McDonald43c58.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1611735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Rinky Hijikata57c58.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Mackenzie McDonald43c58.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Rinky Hijikata57c55.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Rinky Hijikata64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4147857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mackenzie McDonald19c52.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed Rinky Hijikata77c50.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mackenzie McDonald42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…8da2backed Mackenzie McDonald43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Mackenzie McDonald43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mackenzie McDonald44c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Mackenzie McDonald43c44.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2420048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Mackenzie McDonald43c41.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0365849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mackenzie McDonald43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2685637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Rinky Hijikata58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4890854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcad…1d64backed Rinky Hijikata59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Rinky Hijikata58c31.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0745751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Mackenzie McDonald43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.942353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Rinky Hijikata61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.774955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Mackenzie McDonald39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Rinky Hijikata64c29.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.697562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Mackenzie McDonald43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1839443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Rinky Hijikata73c25.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.861,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Rinky Hijikata57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mackenzie McDonald41c24.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mackenzie McDonald46c24.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Rinky Hijikata72c22.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.262853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Rinky Hijikata57c21.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.237,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.