TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c40,000$16,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,60010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No59c38,154$22,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,510.597938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes57c14,571$8,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2047750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes41c7,321$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.3227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Yes77c6,347$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes71c5,809$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.492853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No50c5,664$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.517444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes30c5,299$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.575655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No69c4,705$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.1812050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No63c4,478$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.764658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c4,294$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.9893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c3,998$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.9122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,792$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.431,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes42c3,362$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No59c3,300$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.983164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c3,112$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.0832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes41c1,850$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.56046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No58c1,776$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.755369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No59c1,775$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.3620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c1,477$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes42c1,369$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.817145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No59c1,344$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8417543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No70c1,174$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.583964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes42c1,128$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.142650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c1,111$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.832,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No59c1,091$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.5659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.077337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.745100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+144.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes29c899.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c773.75$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c716.98$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No58c694.99$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.111153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f0…ef9fbacked Yes40c655$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No57c648.64$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.94717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No58c530$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8712452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No58c520$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.481952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes30c516.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.674734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes40c505.83$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.511848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No40c470$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.85918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No59c399.95$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.974355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c388.89$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes73c341.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.442889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x064b…0996backed No60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…5121backed No60c325$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes41c289.63$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.412347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No60c286.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Yes41c277.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2721650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed No69c253.84$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-78.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No59c238.59$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.77850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No55c228.85$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8213639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No12c222.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c214$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes28c211.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No63c199.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes41c192.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.776350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c191.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes39c169.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6911666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.295740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.296642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c151$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No31c140.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes78c128.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes42c127.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes41c126.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.898644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes41c126.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.514825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes41c120.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No59c119.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.664242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes42c118.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes41c117.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.591735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No60c117$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes41c105.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5313040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed Yes73c104.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…5602backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd631…1b97backed No28c99.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked No31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.082910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No42c74.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.074727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f59…81cdbacked Yes41c70.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.371866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.36355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No60c67.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes37c66.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.676659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.