Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc0229a6abd6f6ac90fa17edac0c47dde2eb5b26e9a4b6ae4ae55a9ed1c6b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 65c | 5,311$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 3,608$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 44c | 3,022$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 43c | 2,315$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.4 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 1,994$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.81 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 1,377$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 1,340$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 776$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 32c | 752$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 67c | 707.58$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 688.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 34c | 425.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 25c | 344.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 78c | 320.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 67c | 283.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 20c | 208.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 33c | 204.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed Yes | 46c | 199.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 199.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 172$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 162.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 64c | 159.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 43c | 146.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 118.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 32c | 103.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 70.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 33c | 65.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 63.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…5adabacked Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6022backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 67c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.