Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab7852e1c06d697ac0ef749806a7e086f4f6372db2fa8c2120d3603eb2fc844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 2,444$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.03 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 73c | 2,118$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.7 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 74c | 1,750$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…b502backed Yes | 28c | 1,559$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…45a4backed No | 72c | 1,070$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 69c | 928.35$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 880.15$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 28c | 878.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 854.3$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 67c | 846.21$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 768.03$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…cd65backed Yes | 28c | 763$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 29c | 689.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 593.01$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked No | 72c | 489$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…874abacked No | 72c | 487.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 28c | 476.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 27c | 419.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 403.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 28c | 364.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 67c | 348.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d0…443abacked No | 72c | 263$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 234$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed No | 74c | 225.68$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 12c | 224.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 192$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…7286backed Yes | 34c | 171.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 65c | 149.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 73c | 146.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 30c | 118.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 34c | 100.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 86.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…4712backed No | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Yes | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 27c | 47.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 46.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 43.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 74c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.