Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fb001266a534a067b85c6a2f413bffcac9f48ed551f66e41765fa632623ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 19c | 12,514$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 4,907$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.25 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 4,302$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.47 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 3,692$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,630$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 67c | 3,213$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 59c | 816.68$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 782.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 745.45$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 41c | 682.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 37c | 624$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 606.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 604.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Yes | 33c | 542.64$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 497.58$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 69c | 444$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 79c | 405.57$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 30c | 402.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed No | 33c | 388.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 32c | 363.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 304.1$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 301.5$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 78c | 252.34$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 249.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 31c | 245$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 187.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…62d6backed Yes | 32c | 154.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Yes | 17c | 152.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 78c | 149.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 35c | 144.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 36c | 125.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 46c | 103.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 58c | 98.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 96.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 63c | 95.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…9822backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 17c | 77.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 70.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 64.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…9de2backed Yes | 32c | 61.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…cd9bbacked Yes | 36c | 61.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 61c | 57.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Yes | 33c | 55.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 66c | 47.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Yes | 44c | 45.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 70c | 42.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 58c | 37.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 32c | 31.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 68c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…458bbacked No | 68c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.