Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce2aceb54b55c6ca0aac25a40f9f00292352dba5f4377b7f1b55ae2756c7435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 90,000$26,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,699.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 40c | 24,939$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,963.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 15,273$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.1 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 40c | 13,787$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.67 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 53c | 13,585$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,384.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 10,529$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 6,210$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 4,190$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 25c | 3,040$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.19 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 1,919$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.49 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 1,816$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 15c | 1,526$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.46 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 33c | 1,452$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.63 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 9c | 1,229$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.17 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 59c | 838.27$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 69c | 762.37$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 80c | 710$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 34c | 656.38$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.21 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 42c | 635.13$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 24c | 537.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 5c | 501.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 41c | 457.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 451$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 424.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 35c | 368.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 23c | 350.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 40c | 334$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 12c | 310$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 11c | 274.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 27c | 218.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 40c | 204.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 79c | 203.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked No | 60c | 198.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 72c | 153.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…4683backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 38c | 142.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…db15backed No | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 34c | 121.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 120.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 54c | 107.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 97.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 43c | 92.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 76c | 83.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…5918backed No | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…eadbbacked Yes | 80c | 79.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 27c | 76.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 72.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked No | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…9f0ebacked Yes | 34c | 56.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 56c | 56.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 59c | 55.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 28c | 55.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 59c | 54.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…04cdbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…2c27backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…13a9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 58c | 44.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…6ffbbacked Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…4dd9backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…251abacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.