TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9220…4dd9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$15.82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.09
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$75.37
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$19.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.3%+$39.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$190.46
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.3%+$3.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26.41
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.75
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$86.5
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+144.2%+$151.31
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.94
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.67
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$13.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+198.5%+$66.5
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$17.88
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+54.7%+$54.37
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Nancy Pelosi attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$39.74
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+45.4%+$4.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+50.8%+$10.1
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.22
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+121.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.54
League of Legends: DRX vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$10.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$21.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$80.95
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$116.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+48%+$6.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.3
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+35.1%+$35.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.2%+$14.44
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Jay-Z criminal charges in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson complete the Hole in 1 Challenge by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+229.6%+$229.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+189.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+189.9%+$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colts sign Phillip Rivers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.