TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked No61c44,177$26,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,373.2721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c40,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c37,260$23,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,077.1693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes13c17,399$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c9,282$6,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c8,068$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.3548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes40c7,923$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.122853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed No63c7,100$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c6,281$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.512,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No62c6,139$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.55369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c4,397$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes28c3,244$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.822536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No62c2,044$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.819150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes38c1,634$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c1,601$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c1,458$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No63c1,181$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No62c1,173$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes23c1,044$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No41c1,033$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.444744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed No62c877.5$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes10c874.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.411010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No76c869.81$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6615550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes37c832.57$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.057444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes42c812.21$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.41887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes40c741.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c715.15$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.819154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes38c627.05$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2820841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c620.3$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes25c600.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9515635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes22c600$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c550$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes16c517.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes39c508.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No61c498.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes35c498.56$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c497.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c425.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No61c406.56$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.567100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No61c386.12$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.596437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.511667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No61c344.26$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.261070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes39c340.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.683537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No62c331.3$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.891747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No62c324$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.125747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4943…dd33backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed Yes18c291.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f8…bc77backed No62c280.65$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes39c259$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.012661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes40c246.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.577337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes20c244.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No62c243.53$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.545658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes29c223.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes17c219.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.024717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Yes60c201.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No61c195$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0813152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes27c181.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes17c180.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes38c177.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.412347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No61c176$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.646355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc420…eb1bbacked Yes60c174.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked No65c169.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes39c161.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c155$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No75c151.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c135.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c128$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68e…663cbacked Yes41c125.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…44cdbacked Yes12c117.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc6…d951backed No62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No63c112$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.653658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e5…4c5ebacked No63c111$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.