Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d97a27a44d31360f1aea2a1d3d1635933badb45036562a0a19af70910a66d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 66c | 3,801$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.03 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,197$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.87 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,268$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.44 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,232$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,429$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 1,377$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 62c | 1,075$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 27c | 829.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.29 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 28c | 799.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 782.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 60c | 682.83$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.76 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 640.71$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.58 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Yes | 73c | 512.18$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 468.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 442.65$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 33c | 314.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…741cbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 295.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 284$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 33c | 259.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 236.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 68c | 220.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…ba4bbacked No | 32c | 214.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…a59fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 72c | 171.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 9c | 171$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 67c | 170$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 29c | 155.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…8765backed Yes | 34c | 149.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Yes | 67c | 148.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 16c | 104.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 66c | 89.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 29c | 84.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 38c | 78.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 43c | 75.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 71.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 21c | 70.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 29c | 69.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 65c | 61.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked No | 28c | 51.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 49.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…3752backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 31c | 46.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c21backed Yes | 37c | 43.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 43.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 32c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 36c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…d0f6backed No | 63c | 21.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…f4d3backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.