TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fb…3e4abacked Over63c22,500$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3007241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c12,948$8,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa368…2cf8backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c4,029$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under38c3,595$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.061,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under39c3,162$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.179823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under39c3,132$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.682828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under35c3,100$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c2,830$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over64c2,574$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.442,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under30c2,507$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.4536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over62c2,448$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.246546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under37c2,353$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.022,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under30c2,292$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c2,217$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.42,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over70c2,090$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over68c2,052$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.7716747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under41c1,955$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.42737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under33c1,826$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over61c1,734$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.2523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over59c1,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7813953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Under30c1,635$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.514620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over66c1,616$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under29c1,325$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.184327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c1,284$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under35c1,184$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under34c1,108$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3906958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under34c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under26c899.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.466940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under35c817.53$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c791.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.111,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c609.3$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under30c555.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.663525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155319.7%3 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over64c454.68$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.171,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under43c427.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over62c406.37$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.423557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.234238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under18c391$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Under40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Over62c338.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.719053.3%48 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…20c5backed Over62c320.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.022142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over69c300.91$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under22c299.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over65c292.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.621,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over71c276$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0411445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under25c275$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.651,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under32c267$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.671,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under8c263.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under28c249$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.821,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over68c232.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.093,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over56c229.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Under39c225$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.759058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under45c223.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over62c222.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.79534.7%33 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c213.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccd…2cc2backed Under45c208.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over61c205$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9513955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b7…f170backed Over60c187.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Over70c172.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7410741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4911647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c161.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.622,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…c33ebacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Over66c151.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7412529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under39c146.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.057548%36 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d9…c3cbbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…b36dbacked Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over62c116.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over70c108.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa802…4575backed Over70c107.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under39c102$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.782944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae4…83dfbacked Over62c101.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.493751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…0b45backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over69c98.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1731149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf64a…5b3cbacked Under31c97.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303040%12 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under42c89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.381,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c25…70d3backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.