Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a6fda15285fb70675adda17ad3f48280a275231e250e14142443f789ad54a2

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	32c	15,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199.9	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Under	67c	6,300$4,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.93	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	68c	5,729$3,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,872.98	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	68c	2,636$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,792.33	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under	68c	2,601$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,768.7	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	33c	2,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…15f8backed Over	33c	1,500$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	51c	1,377$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.51	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over	36c	1,334$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.8	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	72c	590.02$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.19	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	69c	521.88$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.53	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	75c	494.48$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.86	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5641…6b17backed Under	75c	400$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	69c	372$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.93	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over	62c	319.99$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.6	174	59.8%104 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	68c	278.89$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.15	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	68c	270.93$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.62	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under	68c	239$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.52	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	74c	224.33$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.94	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	65c	194.41$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.78	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over	26c	191.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.71	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	31c	189.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Under	71c	180$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Over	26c	173.08$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.08	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	127	63.8%81 W · 46 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	25c	171.85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.78	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	52c	161.98$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.23	220	58.2%128 W · 92 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	267	38.2%102 W · 165 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over	61c	147.07$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.36	136	53.7%73 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over	40c	139$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.59	98	62.2%61 W · 37 L	+20.5wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	69c	131.06$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Under	41c	120.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Under	59c	115.27$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.34	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0763…6d79backed Over	28c	106.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.41	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4490…e3babacked Over	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	153	57.5%88 W · 65 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4058…37a9backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5514…2f61backed Over	33c	95$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.65	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	67c	92$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.96	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over	33c	75.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	36c	74.04$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	25c	58.44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.83	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	24c	58.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.09	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	190	40.5%77 W · 113 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	68c	44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over	26c	42.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	64c	41.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…ac93backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	80c	41.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Over	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Under	77c	38.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over	32c	34.38$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.38	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944d…fb3cbacked Over	66c	33.33$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	68c	25.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under	77c	21.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	49cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over	57c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.59	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…33debacked Over	72c	15.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.28	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	72c	14.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	74c	14.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event