Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0dfd9c66ed39f64252d5fc95bd041aa09c77f013d14f314b4a95a429e85816

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $321,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,704 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	15c	53,823$7,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,841.94	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under	14c	43,700$6,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,318.03	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	15c	7,532$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.96	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	6c	7,306$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.82	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	15c	6,162$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.51	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	14c	5,825$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.93	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Under	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	15c	3,739$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.67	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	14c	3,162$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.68	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under	15c	2,950$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.53	132	61.4%81 W · 51 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over	78c	2,648$2,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.64	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	12c	2,266$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.68	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	14c	1,881$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.32	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under	8c	1,640$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.4	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	12c	1,508$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.34	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	15c	1,400$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda7b…eef9backed Under	7c	1,297$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.61	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	22c	1,073$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.27	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Under	15c	1,033$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Under	15c	1,033$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under	15c	900$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under	13c	810.73$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.39	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	1c	803.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	18c	781.87$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.75	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	14c	599.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.92	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under	4c	581.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	55%55 W · 45 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d2…818bbacked Under	15c	560$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	16c	513.95$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.45	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf215…79ccbacked Under	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	16c	499.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Under	4c	499.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Under	15c	460$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	14c	349.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.36	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed Under	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f66…3993backed Under	15c	312.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under	13c	306.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+42%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	22c	284$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.48	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Under	15c	277.77$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	4c	268.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Under	17c	264.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…b1e2backed Under	15c	220.13$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	14c	206.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f67…4869backed Under	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	11c	201.15$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	261	46%120 W · 141 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Under	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	15c	191.58$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Under	15c	180$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Under	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ed…0f5dbacked Under	15c	166.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	11c	156.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	10c	155.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	17c	152$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b46…625fbacked Under	16c	148.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Over	80c	135$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	213	62%132 W · 81 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55c1…6485backed Under	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8226…7a58backed Under	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…2ccbbacked Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	16c	107.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	19c	107$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Under	15c	101.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	17c	96.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8460…63e3backed Under	15c	86.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under	15c	78.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	15c	69.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	436	53.7%234 W · 202 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Under	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…72f5backed Under	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	19c	52.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	789	27.5%217 W · 572 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	274	45.3%124 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Under	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x060a…c519backed Over	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5this page
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event