TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f66…3993

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9347.3%44 W · 49 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.61
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.64
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.82
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$17.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.96
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.33
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.19
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.32
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.74
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.58
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Norway leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.79
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.51
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.89
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.91
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$23.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$30.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.58
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.16
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$62.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.83
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.