Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9b86d5b626e1cee927fccb510213f4125752679fb784251acf401b78c0be9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Zverev | 56c | 1,698$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.51 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fritz | 44c | 656.17$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.78 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fritz | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fritz | 41c | 344.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Fritz | 47c | 333$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 51c | 321.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Fritz | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Zverev | 57c | 258.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Fritz | 44c | 230.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Zverev | 47c | 216.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Fritz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Zverev | 69c | 186.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Zverev | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fritz | 10c | 151.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zverev | 42c | 150.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…a143backed Fritz | 60c | 132.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zverev | 50c | 119.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Zverev | 46c | 109.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Zverev | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…3993backed Fritz | 49c | 92.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed Fritz | 49c | 92.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Fritz | 49c | 92.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Zverev | 28c | 88.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Fritz | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fritz | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fritz | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Fritz | 49c | 55.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…b411backed Zverev | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 51c | 41.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fritz | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zverev | 51c | 40.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Fritz | 49c | 37.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Fritz | 44c | 35.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…233dbacked Zverev | 73c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Fritzthis page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs FritzFritz won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Zverev vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.